Franklin India (India) Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

F00000PDXS -- India Fund  

INR 77.69  0.40  0.52%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Franklin India Flexi Cap Dir Gr which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Franklin India hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Franklin India Flexi Cap Dir Gr from the prospective of Franklin India response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Franklin India over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Franklin India Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Franklin India After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Franklin India Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

February 15, 2019
77.69
Current Value
77.65
After-hype Price
Target Odds
Odds Odds
79.78
Upside
Franklin India is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Franklin India Flexi is based on 2 months time horizon.

Franklin India Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.10% 0.71% 0.04%  0.14% 3 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
77.6977.650.05%
164.81% 

Franklin India Hype Timeline

Franklin India Flexi is currently traded for 77.69on Bombay Stock Exchange of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.14. Franklin India Flexi Cap Dir Gr is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 77.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 164.81%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.05% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Franklin India is about 51.66% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 77.55. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days.
Additionally see Franklin India Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Franklin India Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Kotak 50 Dir Div(0.003) 7 per month 0.61 (0.12)  1.02 (0.96)  2.23 
Franklin India Flexi Cap Gr(0.25) 5 per month 0.00 (0.30)  0.87 (1.27)  2.73 
Franklin India Flexi Cap Dir Gr(0.43) 3 per month 0.00 (0.16)  0.88 (1.27)  3.55 
Franklin India Bluechip Dir Div(0.08) 5 per month 0.00 (0.23)  1.01 (1.25)  9.67 
Franklin India Bluechip Gr(12.25) 2 per month 0.00 (0.07)  1.42 (1.25)  15.24 
HDFC Top 200 Gr(0.12) 4 per month 0.00 (0.14)  1.13 (1.11)  3.11 
HDFC S Life Growth Fund Investment 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Reliance Top 200 Gr(0.0489) 6 per month 0.00 (0.24)  0.83 (1.28)  3.38 
Reliance Top 200 Dir Bns(0.57) 4 per month 0.00 (0.13)  1.03 (1.49)  3.21 
PNB Met Life Multiplier 0.0147 4 per month 0.70 (0.11)  1.12 (1.11)  3.27 

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Additionally see Franklin India Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
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