PIMCO GIS (Ireland) Risk Analysis And Volatility Evaluation

F00000PHFD -- Ireland Fund  

SGD 9.93  0.11  1.10%

Macroaxis considers PIMCO GIS to be unknown risk. PIMCO GIS Income maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e. Efficiency) of -0.5 which implies PIMCO GIS Income had -0.5% of return per unit of volatility over the last 1 month. Macroaxis approach towards forecasting risk of any fund is to look at both systematic and un-systematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. PIMCO GIS Income exposes twenty-one different technical indicators which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to check PIMCO GIS Income Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.10 to confirm risk estimate we provide.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

PIMCO GIS Market Sensitivity

As returns on market increase, PIMCO GIS returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding PIMCO GIS will be expected to be smaller as well.
One Month Beta |Analyze PIMCO GIS Income Demand Trend
Check current 30 days PIMCO GIS correlation with market (DOW)
β = 0.0604
PIMCO GIS Small BetaPIMCO GIS Income Beta Legend

PIMCO GIS Income Technical Analysis

Transformation
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PIMCO GIS Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming 30 trading days horizon, PIMCO GIS has beta of 0.0604 suggesting as returns on market go up, PIMCO GIS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding PIMCO GIS Income E Inc SGD H will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally, PIMCO GIS Income E Inc SGD H has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Predicted Return Density 
      Returns 
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the coefficient of variation of PIMCO GIS is -200.0. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 0.3 and standard deviation of 0.55. The mean deviation of PIMCO GIS Income E Inc SGD H is currently at 0.41. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 0.45
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.05
β
Beta against DOW=0.06
σ
Overall volatility
=0.55
Ir
Information ratio =1.3

PIMCO GIS Return Volatility

PIMCO GIS Income E Inc SGD H accepts 0.5478% volatility on return distribution over the 30 days horizon. DOW inherits 0.444% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 30 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
      Timeline 

Market Risk Breakdown

PIMCO GIS Volatility Factors

30 Days Market Risk

Unknown risk

Chance of Distress in 24 months

Unknown Distress

30 Days Economic Sensitivity

Unaffected

Investment Outlook

PIMCO GIS Investment Opportunity

PIMCO GIS Income E Inc SGD H has a volatility of 0.55 and is 1.25 times more volatile than DOW. 4% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than PIMCO GIS. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of PIMCO GIS Income E Inc SGD H is lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use PIMCO GIS Income E Inc SGD H to protect against small markets fluctuations. The fund experiences somewhat bearish sentiment, but market may correct it shortly. Check odds of PIMCO GIS to be traded at S$9.63 in 30 days. As returns on market increase, PIMCO GIS returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding PIMCO GIS will be expected to be smaller as well.

PIMCO GIS correlation with market

Modest diversification
Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding PIMCO GIS Income E Inc SGD H and equity matching DJI index in the same portfolio.

PIMCO GIS Volatility Indicators

PIMCO GIS Income E Inc SGD H Current Risk Indicators

Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
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