Farmer Bros Co Stock Performance
FARM Stock | USD 3.16 0.03 0.96% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.28, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Farmer Bros will likely underperform. Farmer Bros has an expected return of -0.0795%. Please make sure to confirm Farmer Bros value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Farmer Bros performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
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Over the last 90 days Farmer Bros Co has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Farmer Bros is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.47) | Five Day Return (1.41) | Year To Date Return 3.45 | Ten Year Return (85.05) | All Time Return 87.76 |
Last Split Factor 10:1 | Dividend Date 2011-02-14 | Ex Dividend Date 2011-01-26 | Last Split Date 2004-05-11 |
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Begin Period Cash Flow | 10 M | |
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 88.4 M |
Farmer |
Farmer Bros Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 349.00 in Farmer Bros Co on January 25, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (33.00) from holding Farmer Bros Co or give up 9.46% of portfolio value over 90 days. Farmer Bros Co is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.045% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 35% of stocks are less volatile than Farmer, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
Risk |
Farmer Bros Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Farmer Bros' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Farmer Bros Co, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Farmer Bros' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.0197
Best Portfolio | Best Equity | |||
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Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
Negative Returns | FARM |
Estimated Market Risk
4.05 actual daily | 35 65% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
-0.08 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
-0.02 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Farmer Bros is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Farmer Bros by adding Farmer Bros to a well-diversified portfolio.
Farmer Bros Fundamentals Growth
Farmer Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Farmer Bros, and Farmer Bros fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Farmer Stock performance.
Return On Equity | -0.35 | |||
Return On Asset | -0.0622 | |||
Profit Margin | (0.17) % | |||
Operating Margin | (0.01) % | |||
Current Valuation | 113.09 M | |||
Shares Outstanding | 21.07 M | |||
Price To Earning | 22.93 X | |||
Price To Book | 1.62 X | |||
Price To Sales | 0.21 X | |||
Revenue | 339.96 M | |||
Gross Profit | 114.61 M | |||
EBITDA | (1.2 M) | |||
Net Income | (79.18 M) | |||
Cash And Equivalents | 10.14 M | |||
Cash Per Share | 0.54 X | |||
Total Debt | 48.68 M | |||
Debt To Equity | 1.30 % | |||
Current Ratio | 1.88 X | |||
Book Value Per Share | 2.08 X | |||
Cash Flow From Operations | (6.88 M) | |||
Earnings Per Share | (1.14) X | |||
Market Capitalization | 66.6 M | |||
Total Asset | 187.78 M | |||
Retained Earnings | (26.48 M) | |||
Working Capital | 27.63 M | |||
Current Asset | 153.37 M | |||
Current Liabilities | 56.84 M | |||
About Farmer Bros Performance
To evaluate Farmer Bros Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Farmer Bros generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Farmer Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Farmer Bros market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Farmer's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Days Of Inventory On Hand | 91.78 | 132.80 | |
Return On Tangible Assets | (0.52) | (0.50) | |
Return On Capital Employed | (0.24) | (0.22) | |
Return On Assets | (0.48) | (0.46) | |
Return On Equity | (2.39) | (2.27) |
Things to note about Farmer Bros performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Farmer Bros for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Farmer Bros help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Farmer Bros generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Farmer Bros has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 339.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (79.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 114.61 M. | |
Farmer Bros Co currently holds about 10.14 M in cash with (6.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.54. | |
Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
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- Analyzing Farmer Bros' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Farmer Bros' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Farmer Bros' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Farmer Bros' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Farmer Bros' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Farmer Bros' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Farmer Bros' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Farmer Bros Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Complementary Tools for Farmer Stock analysis
When running Farmer Bros' price analysis, check to measure Farmer Bros' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Farmer Bros is operating at the current time. Most of Farmer Bros' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Farmer Bros' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Farmer Bros' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Farmer Bros to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Farmer Bros' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Farmer Bros. If investors know Farmer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Farmer Bros listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.14) | Revenue Per Share 16.889 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.006 | Return On Assets (0.06) | Return On Equity (0.35) |
The market value of Farmer Bros is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Farmer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Farmer Bros' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Farmer Bros' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Farmer Bros' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Farmer Bros' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Farmer Bros' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Farmer Bros is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Farmer Bros' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.