Facebook Risk Analysis And Volatility

FB -- USA Stock  

USD 148.53  3.14  2.16%

We consider Facebook not too risky. Facebook secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0677 which denotes Facebook had 0.0677% of return per unit of standard deviation over the last 2 months. Our philosophy in predicting volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Facebook which you can use to evaluate future volatility of the firm. Please confirm Facebook Semi Deviation of 3.02, Mean Deviation of 1.98 and Downside Deviation of 3.11 to check if risk estimate we provide are consistent with the epected return of 0.1982%.
Interest Expense
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Facebook Market Sensitivity

Facebook returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As market goes up or down, Facebook is expected to follow.
2 Months Beta |Analyze Facebook Demand Trend
Check current 30 days Facebook correlation with market (DOW)
β = 1.0049

Facebook Central Daily Price Deviation

Facebook Technical Analysis

Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of thirty-nine. Facebook Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input. View also all equity analysis or get more info about average price price transform indicator.

Facebook Projected Return Density Against Market

Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.0049 suggesting Facebook market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market benchmark goes up or down, Facebook is expected to follow. Moreover, Facebook has an alpha of 0.2179 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2179% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Predicted Return Density 
      Returns 
Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, the coefficient of variation of Facebook is 1476.18. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 8.56 and standard deviation of 2.93. The mean deviation of Facebook is currently at 2.03. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 1.97
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.22
β
Beta against DOW=1.00
σ
Overall volatility
=2.93
Ir
Information ratio =0.08

Facebook Return Volatility

Facebook accepts 2.9251% volatility on return distribution over the 30 days horizon. DOW inherits 2.026% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 30 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
      Timeline 

Market Risk Breakdown

Facebook Volatility Factors

60 Days Market Risk

Not too risky

Chance of Distress in 24 months

Below average

60 Days Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors market

Investment Outlook

Facebook Investment Opportunity

Facebook has a volatility of 2.93 and is 1.44 times more volatile than DOW. 26% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Facebook. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Facebook is lower than 26 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Facebook to enhance returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of Facebook to be traded at $178.24 in 30 days. . Facebook returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As market goes up or down, Facebook is expected to follow.

Facebook correlation with market

correlation synergy
Poor diversification
Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Facebook Inc and equity matching DJI index in the same portfolio.

Facebook Volatility Indicators

Facebook Current Risk Indicators

Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
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