First Citizens Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

FCNCA -- USA Stock  

USD 445.70  12.47  2.88%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Citizens BancShares which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With First Citizens hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of First Citizens BancShares from the prospective of First Citizens response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on First Citizens over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see First Citizens Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

First Citizens After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

First Citizens Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 24, 2019
445.70
Current Value
428.73
Downside
433.32
After-hype Price
437.91
Upside
First Citizens is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Citizens BancS is based on 2 months time horizon.

First Citizens Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.04% 1.55% 0.12%  0.00% 8 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
445.70433.320.02%
53.26% 

First Citizens Hype Timeline

First Citizens BancS is currently traded for445.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. First Citizens BancShares is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 433.32. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 53.26%. The closing price rise on the next news is anticipated to be 0.02% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on First Citizens is about 2214.29% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 445.7. The company reported revenue of 1.61B. Net Income was 437.51M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.55B. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days.
Additionally see First Citizens Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

First Citizens Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Byline Bancorp 0.07 6 per month 0.00 (0.08)  2.22 (2.28)  6.46 
Prosperity Bancshares 0.25 7 per month 0.00  0.049  2.23 (2.91)  7.24 
DNB Financial Corp(0.04) 11 per month 0.00 (0.0493)  1.72 (2.79)  5.35 
Eagle Bancorp Montana 0.02 7 per month 0.00  0.006  3.69 (2.34)  7.03 
Enterprise Financial Services C 0.11 9 per month 0.00 (0.0077)  2.24 (2.28)  9.52 
EAGLE FINANCIAL SERVICES INC(0.25) 5 per month 0.00  0.0049  1.67 (1.45)  2.86 
Eagle Bancorp 0.58 9 per month 0.00 (0.10)  2.36 (2.68)  28.52 
Emclaire Financial Corp 0.00 10 per month 3.44  0.0415  8.58 (4.62)  24.68 
EMBASSY BANCORP INC(0.09) 7 per month 0.78  0.15  2.68 (2.25)  5.64 
ENB FINACIAL CORP 0.05 8 per month 0.00 (0.14)  1.82 (2.50)  52.29 

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