FGL Holdings Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

FG -- USA Stock  

  Buyout Trend

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with FGL Holdings which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With FGL Holdings hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of FGL Holdings from the prospective of FGL Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on FGL Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see FGL Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

FGL Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

FGL Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 21, 2019
8.62
Current Value
8.54
After-hype Price
14.54
Upside
FGL Holdings is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FGL Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

FGL Holdings Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.15  1.99% 0.00   0.00  10 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.628.540.00 
19,900

FGL Holdings Hype Timeline

As of October 21, 2019 FGL Holdings is listed for 8.62. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. FGL Holdings is suggested not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 19900.0%. The immediate return on the next news is suggested to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to FGL Holdings is about 11705.88%%. The volatility of related hype on FGL Holdings is about 11705.88% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 8.62. About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.77. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. FGL Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.36. The entity last dividend was issued on 2019-08-23. Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, the next suggested press release will be in about 10 days.
Additionally see FGL Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

FGL Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FGL Holdings(0.01) 10 per month 1.91  0.06  3.32 (3.91)  9.17 
Globe Life 0.62 10 per month 1.74  0.05  2.16 (2.97)  6.33 
EMERGENT CAPITAL INC 0.01 9 per month 7.93  0.10  12.00 (13.79)  46.21 
FEDERAL LIFE GROUP INC 0.00 6 per month 0.00  0.20  0.00  0.00  6.67 
American Equity Investment Life 0.42 7 per month 0.00 (0.05)  2.53 (4.66)  8.90 
AFLAC Incorporated(0.14) 6 per month 0.00 (0.0462)  1.30 (2.30)  7.09 
Brighthouse Financial(0.43) 9 per month 2.79  0.0153  3.76 (3.71)  11.77 
Citizens(0.1) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0258)  3.55 (2.98)  9.16 
CNO Financial Group(0.22) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0151)  2.92 (3.54)  8.04 
FBL Financial Group 0.02 8 per month 0.00 (0.09)  2.30 (2.65)  6.48 
Additionally see FGL Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
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