Fair Isaac Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

FICO -- USA Stock  

Earning Report: November 7, 2019  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fair Isaac Corproation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Fair Isaac hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Fair Isaac Corproation from the prospective of Fair Isaac response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Fair Isaac over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Fair Isaac Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Fair Isaac After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Fair Isaac Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 20, 2019
311.98
Current Value
305.48
Downside
312.59
After-hype Price
319.70
Upside
Fair Isaac is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fair Isaac Corproation is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fair Isaac Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.17  2.37% 0.61   0.10  8 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
311.98312.590.20 
66.02

Fair Isaac Hype Timeline

Fair Isaac Corproation is currently traded for311.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.61 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Fair Isaac Corproation is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 312.59. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 66.02%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.2% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Fair Isaac is about 414.34% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 312.08. The company reported previous year revenue of 1.14 B. Net Income was 186.19 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 721.78 M. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Additionally see Fair Isaac Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Fair Isaac Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Dropbox 0.46 5 per month 0.00  0.17  2.35 (1.48)  6.64 
Black Knight 0.41 10 per month 0.00  0.0092  1.63 (1.80)  4.60 
EVO Payments(0.48) 6 per month 0.00 (0.0258)  1.53 (1.07)  6.22 
F5 Networks(0.08) 10 per month 0.00 (0.0257)  2.66 (3.19)  8.10 
Five9 1.12 10 per month 2.58  0.07  4.06 (4.46)  23.27 
Evertec(0.40) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0118)  2.42 (3.37)  18.64 
Fair Isaac Corproation 3.59 8 per month 0.00 (0.07)  3.08 (5.45)  11.55 
BlackLine 0.43 6 per month 2.66  0.0055  2.84 (4.62)  39.48 
Box 0.39 9 per month 0.00 (0.0228)  2.82 (3.84)  18.65 
Amdocs Limited 0.28 11 per month 0.90  0.09  1.11 (1.39)  4.88 
Additionally see Fair Isaac Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Premium Stories module to follow macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
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