Federal Life Group Volatility

FLFGDelisted Stock  USD 10.82  0.00  0.00%   
We have found seventeen technical indicators for Federal Life Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Federal Life's Standard Deviation of 1.13, variance of 1.28, and Mean Deviation of 0.2757 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0%. Key indicators related to Federal Life's volatility include:
720 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
720 Days Economic Sensitivity
Federal Life Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Federal daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Federal's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Federal Life volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Federal Life can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Federal Life at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Federal stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Federal Life's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving against Federal Pink Sheet

  0.88JXN Jackson Financial Financial Report 14th of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.82UNM Unum Group Financial Report 7th of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.8AEL American Equity Inve Financial Report 13th of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.8PRU Prudential Financial Financial Report 7th of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.78LNC Lincoln National Financial Report 14th of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.74MET MetLife Financial Report 1st of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.64MET-PA MetLife Preferred StockPairCorr
  0.53AFL Aflac Incorporated Financial Report 24th of April 2024 PairCorr
  0.53MFC Manulife Financial Corp Financial Report 8th of May 2024 PairCorr

Federal Life Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Federal Life's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Federal pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Federal pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Federal Life's beta of -0.0779 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Federal Life pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Federal Life Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -6.43 and kurtosis of 52.06. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Federal Life's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Federal Life's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Federal Life Group Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Federal Life correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Federal Beta

    
  -0.0779  
Federal standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  0.0  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Federal Life's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Federal Life's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in federal pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Federal Life.

Federal Life Group Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Federal Life pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Federal Life's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Federal Life's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Federal Life's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of pink sheet volatility measures Federal Life's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Federal Life's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Federal Life's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Federal Life's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
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Federal Life Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Federal Life Group has a beta of -0.0779 . This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Federal Life are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Federal Life Group is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Federal Life or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Federal Life's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Federal pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Federal Life Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Federal Life's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how federal pink sheet's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Federal Life Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Federal Life Pink Sheet Return Volatility

Federal Life historical daily return volatility represents how much of Federal Life pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 0.0% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6294% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Federal Life Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Federal Life or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Federal Life may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Federal's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Federal Life and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Federal Life fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Federal Life Group, Inc., through its subsidiary Federal Life Insurance Company, provides life insurance and annuity products in the United States. Federal Life Group, Inc operates as a subsidiary of Insurance Capital Group, LLC. Federal Life operates under InsuranceLife classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 50 people.
Federal Life's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Federal Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Federal Life's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Federal Life's volatility to invest better

Higher Federal Life's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Federal Life Group stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Federal Life Group stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Federal Life Group investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Federal Life's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Federal Life's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Federal Life Investment Opportunity

NYSE Composite has a standard deviation of returns of 0.63 and is 9.223372036854776E16 times more volatile than Federal Life Group. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Federal Life Group is lower than 0 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Federal Life Group to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences a normal downward fluctuation but is a risky buy. Check odds of Federal Life to be traded at $10.71 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between Federal Life Group and NYA is -0.04 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Federal Life Group and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Federal Life Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Federal Life's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Federal Life's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Federal Life pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Federal Life Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Federal Life as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Federal Life's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Federal Life's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Federal Life Group.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
Note that the Federal Life Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Federal Life's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

Other Consideration for investing in Federal Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Federal Life Group check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Federal Life's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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