iShares Trust Price Prediction

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring iShares Trust headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with iShares Trust iShares Floating Rate Bond ETF brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With iShares Trust hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of iShares Trust iShares Floating Rate Bond ETF from the prospective of iShares Trust response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on iShares Trust over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see iShares Trust Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

iShares Trust estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline
October 25, 2016
Current Value
Downside upside
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
Upside upside
iShares Trust is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of iShares Trust iShares is based on 1 month time horizon.

iShares Trust Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.01% 0.05% 0.00%  0.00% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

iShares Trust Hype Timeline

iShares Trust iShares Floating Rate Bond ETF is currently traded for 50.68 . This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. iShares Trust iShares Floating Rate Bond ETF is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 166.67%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to iShares Trust is about 100000.0%%. The volatility of related hype on iShares Trust is about 100000.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 50.68. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Additionally see iShares Trust Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

iShares Trust Related Hype Analysis

Short fall
At Risk
SPDR Series Trust SPDR Barclays 13 Month TBill ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00  6.41  0.00  0.02 (0.02) 0.04 
Guggenheim BulletShrs 2015 Corp Bd ETF 0.00 1 per month 0.00  2.23 (0.06) 0.09 (0.05) 0.19 
First Trust Exchange Traded Fund IV First Trust Enhanced Short Maturity ETF(0.02)1 per month 0.00  2.89 (0.02) 0.03 (0.03) 0.18 
Guggenheim BulletShares 2013 Corp Bond(0.01)1 per month 0.00  1.96  0.00  0.10 (0.05) 0.24 
FlexShares Trust FlexShares Ready Access Variable Income Fund 0.03 1 per month 0.00  1.45 (0.06) 0.15 (0.09) 0.27 
iShares iBonds Dec 2016 Term Corporate 0.0005 1 per month 0.02  1.47 (0.05) 0.12 (0.12) 0.26 
iShares Ultra ShortTerm Bond 0.00 0 per month 0.10  0.77 (0.14) 0.16 (0.20) 0.36 
SSGA Active Trust SPDR SSGA Ultra Short Term Bond ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.04  1.36 (0.06) 0.10 (0.10) 0.25