First Midwest Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

FMBI -- USA Stock  

USD 19.56  0.67  3.55%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Midwest Bancorp which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With First Midwest hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of First Midwest Bancorp from the prospective of First Midwest response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on First Midwest over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see First Midwest Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

First Midwest After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

First Midwest Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 18, 2019
19.56
Current Value
19.62
After-hype Price
24.78
Upside
First Midwest is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Midwest Bancorp is based on 2 months time horizon.

First Midwest Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.12% 1.72% 0.06%  0.00% 6 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.5619.620.31%
318.52% 

First Midwest Hype Timeline

First Midwest Bancorp is currently traded for19.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. First Midwest Bancorp is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 19.62. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 318.52%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 0.31% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.12%. The volatility of related hype on First Midwest is about 42053.79% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 19.56. The company reported previous year revenue of 662.56M. Net Income was 186.28M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 613.36M. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 6 days.
Additionally see First Midwest Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

First Midwest Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Emclaire Financial Corp 0.34 9 per month 3.48  0.07  8.58 (4.62)  24.68 
EMBASSY BANCORP INC 0.00 11 per month 0.80  0.09  2.68 (2.25)  5.64 
EAGLE FINANCIAL SERVICES INC(0.13) 6 per month 0.00 (0.15)  0.82 (1.45)  2.86 
Prosperity Bancshares(0.07) 7 per month 1.56  0.06  2.23 (2.79)  7.24 
Eagle Bancorp Montana 0.53 7 per month 1.19  0.09  3.69 (2.27)  6.97 
Enterprise Financial Services C(0.15) 6 per month 0.00 (0.0452)  2.24 (2.21)  9.52 
ENB FINACIAL CORP(0.35) 7 per month 0.00 (0.14)  1.82 (2.05)  52.29 
Eagle Bancorp(0.74) 9 per month 0.00 (0.14)  2.36 (2.68)  28.52 
DNB Financial Corp 0.77 5 per month 0.00 (0.09)  1.72 (2.71)  5.35 
Byline Bancorp(0.24) 8 per month 0.00 (0.12)  2.22 (2.22)  6.46 

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Additionally see First Midwest Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
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