We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fossil Group which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Fossil hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Fossil Group from the prospective of Fossil response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Fossil over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Fossil Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Fossil Group is currently traded for10.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.25 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Fossil Group is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 10.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 244.29%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 2.4% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Fossil is about 735.48% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 10.48. The company currently holds 603.55M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 111.8 indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Additionally see Fossil Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.