FPA Paramount Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

FPRAX -- USA Fund  

USD 21.61  0.05  0.23%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with FPA Paramount Fund which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With FPA Paramount hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of FPA Paramount Fund from the prospective of FPA Paramount response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on FPA Paramount over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see FPA Paramount Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

FPA Paramount After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

FPA Paramount Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 19, 2019
21.61
Current Value
21.60
After-hype Price
24.96
Upside
FPA Paramount is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FPA Paramount Fund is based on 3 months time horizon.

FPA Paramount Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.04  1.12% 0.01   0.01  4 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
21.6121.600.05 
800.00

FPA Paramount Hype Timeline

FPA Paramount Fund is currently traded for21.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. FPA Paramount Fund is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 21.6. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 800.0%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.05% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on FPA Paramount is about 829.63% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 21.6. The company last dividend was issued on Decemberember 18, 2018. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days.
Additionally see FPA Paramount Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

FPA Paramount Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Capital World Growth And Income 0.09 11 per month 0.00  0.0003  1.18 (1.78)  4.23 
American Funds Capital World(1.68) 1 per month 0.00  0.0075  1.47 (2.58)  5.44 
Capital World Growth And Income(0.66) 10 per month 0.00 (0.0002)  1.17 (1.69)  4.25 
Capital World Growth And Income(0.23) 11 per month 0.00  0.0018  1.39 (2.59)  4.69 
Capital World Growth And Income 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.0064  1.17 (1.77)  4.24 
American Funds Capital World(0.23) 11 per month 0.00  0.0008  1.39 (1.77)  4.98 
New Perspective Fund Class F 0.82 2 per month 0.00  0.0086  1.30 (1.93)  4.75 
New Perspective Fund Class 529(0.31) 7 per month 0.00  0.0004  1.28 (1.79)  4.72 
New Perspective Fund Class R 2 0.78 2 per month 0.00  0.0044  1.30 (1.78)  4.74 
New Perspective Fund Class R 3 0.07 10 per month 0.00  0.006  1.29 (1.79)  4.72 
Additionally see FPA Paramount Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Fund Screener module to find activelly-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
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