Freedom Holding Corp Stock Price Prediction
| FRHC Stock | USD 67.58 2.16 3.30% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
35
Oversold | Overbought |
Freedom Holding Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Freedom Holding shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Freedom Holding's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Freedom Holding and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Freedom Holding's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Freedom Holding Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Freedom Holding's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.543 | Wall Street Target Price 76 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.762 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Freedom Holding based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Freedom stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Freedom Holding over a specific investment horizon. Using Freedom Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Freedom Holding Corp from the perspective of Freedom Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Freedom Holding using Freedom Holding's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Freedom using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Freedom Holding's stock price.
Freedom Holding Implied Volatility | 116.1 |
Freedom Holding's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Freedom Holding Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Freedom Holding's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Freedom Holding stock will not fluctuate a lot when Freedom Holding's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Freedom Holding. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Freedom Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Freedom because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Freedom Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 67.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Freedom contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Freedom Holding Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 7.26% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Freedom Holding trading at USD 67.58, that is roughly USD 4.9 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Freedom Holding's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Freedom Holding Corp options at the current volatility level of 116.1%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Freedom |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Freedom Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Freedom Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Freedom Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Freedom Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Freedom Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Freedom Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Freedom Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Freedom Holding's historical news coverage. Freedom Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 65.61 and 69.35, respectively. We have considered Freedom Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Freedom Holding is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Freedom Holding Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Freedom Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Freedom Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Freedom Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Freedom Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.87 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 11 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
67.58 | 67.48 | 0.15 |
|
Freedom Holding Hype Timeline
Freedom Holding Corp is currently traded for 67.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Freedom is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 67.48. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Freedom Holding is about 534.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 67.49. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Freedom Holding was currently reported as 17.37. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.64. Freedom Holding Corp last dividend was issued on the 3rd of September 2002. The entity had 1:25 split on the 6th of September 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Freedom Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Freedom Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Freedom Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Freedom Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Freedom Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Freedom Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JPM | JPMorgan Chase Co | (1.89) | 8 per month | 1.31 | 0.05 | 1.72 | (1.14) | 8.65 | |
| WFC | Wells Fargo | (0.12) | 8 per month | 0.58 | 0.21 | 1.79 | (1.32) | 8.55 | |
| C | Citigroup | (0.09) | 8 per month | 1.06 | 0.1 | 2.28 | (1.88) | 8.13 | |
| AXP | American Express | 0.70 | 8 per month | 0.62 | 0.17 | 1.88 | (1.42) | 9.91 |
Freedom Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Freedom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Freedom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Freedom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Freedom Holding Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Freedom Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Freedom Holding Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Freedom Holding based on analysis of Freedom Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Freedom Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Freedom Holding's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 2.5E-5 | 2.4E-5 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.09 | 9.96 |
Story Coverage note for Freedom Holding
The number of cover stories for Freedom Holding depends on current market conditions and Freedom Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Freedom Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Freedom Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
Freedom Holding Short Properties
Freedom Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Freedom Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Freedom Holding Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Freedom Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Freedom Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 59.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.2 B |
Check out Freedom Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Freedom Holding Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Freedom Holding's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Complementary Tools for Freedom Stock analysis
When running Freedom Holding's price analysis, check to measure Freedom Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Freedom Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Freedom Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Freedom Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Freedom Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Freedom Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Premium Stories Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope | |
| Portfolio Analyzer Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine | |
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes | |
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| ETF Categories List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments | |
| Bond Analysis Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios. | |
| Share Portfolio Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm |
Is Freedom Holding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Freedom Holding. If investors know Freedom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Freedom Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.543 | Earnings Share 5.64 | Revenue Per Share 15.048 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.762 | Return On Assets 0.0521 |
The market value of Freedom Holding Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Freedom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Freedom Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Freedom Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Freedom Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Freedom Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Freedom Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Freedom Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Freedom Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.