Federal Signal Stock Performance
| FSS Stock | USD 83.33 0.43 0.51% |
Federal Signal has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.54, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Federal Signal will likely underperform. Federal Signal right now shows a risk of 1.42%. Please confirm Federal Signal standard deviation, expected short fall, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if Federal Signal will be following its price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
7 of 100
Weak | Strong |
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Federal Signal are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively inconsistent basic indicators, Federal Signal may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in May 2024. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.94) | Five Day Return 2.19 | Year To Date Return 10.22 | Ten Year Return 445.14 | All Time Return 3.2 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0057 | Payout Ratio 0.1628 | Last Split Factor 4:3 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.48 | Dividend Date 2024-03-28 |
1 | Federal Signal to Host Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference Call on February 27, 2024 | 02/13/2024 |
2 | Federal Signal Q4 Earnings Snapshot | 02/27/2024 |
3 | Disposition of 19034 shares by Dennis Martin of Federal Signal subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/29/2024 |
4 | Federal Signal Co. Short Interest Down 7.5 percent in February | 03/06/2024 |
5 | Federal Signal shareholders have earned a 26 percent CAGR over the last five years | 03/12/2024 |
6 | Federal Signal Corporation Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financials Look Strong Should Prospective Shareholders Make The Leap | 03/15/2024 |
7 | Anchor Investment Management LLC Invests 146000 in Federal Signal Co. - Defense World | 03/18/2024 |
8 | Federal Signal Q3 Earnings Snapshot - Barchart | 03/25/2024 |
| Federal Signal dividend paid on 28th of March 2024 | 03/28/2024 |
9 | Assenagon Asset Management S.A. Sells 98,334 Shares of Federal Signal Co. - MarketBeat | 04/04/2024 |
10 | Goldman Sachs money manager Be selective with small caps because prices can go down with great velocity | 04/08/2024 |
11 | Does Federal Signal Have A Healthy Balance Sheet | 04/18/2024 |
12 | Federal Signal Reports Next Week Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth | 04/23/2024 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 47.5 M |
Federal |
Federal Signal Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 7,681 in Federal Signal on January 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of 652.00 from holding Federal Signal or generate 8.49% return on investment over 90 days. Federal Signal is generating 0.1394% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.4222% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than Federal, and above 98% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Federal Signal Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Federal Signal's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Federal Signal, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Federal Signal's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = 0.098
| Best Portfolio | Best Equity | |||
| Good Returns | ||||
| Average Returns | ||||
| Small Returns | ||||
| Cash | Small Risk | FSS | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns |
Estimated Market Risk
| 1.42 actual daily | 12 88% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| 0.14 actual daily | 2 98% of assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| 0.1 actual daily | 7 93% of assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Federal Signal is performing at about 7% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Federal Signal by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Federal Signal Fundamentals Growth
Federal Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Federal Signal, and Federal Signal fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Federal Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0892 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 5.26 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 61.02 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 31.56 X | |||
| Price To Book | 5.09 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 2.96 X | |||
| Revenue | 1.72 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 344.9 M | |||
| EBITDA | 285.3 M | |||
| Net Income | 157.4 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 47.5 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.51 X | |||
| Total Debt | 320.7 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.44 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 2.67 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 16.43 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 194.4 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.56 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 5.11 B | |||
| Total Asset | 1.62 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 915.8 M | |||
| Working Capital | 374.4 M | |||
| Current Asset | 315.1 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 117.2 M | |||
About Federal Signal Performance
To evaluate Federal Signal Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Federal Signal generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Federal Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Federal Signal market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Federal's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 86.53 | 59.73 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.17 | 0.18 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.16 | 0.17 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.1 | 0.06 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.16 | 0.11 |
Things to note about Federal Signal performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Federal Signal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Federal Signal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 28th of March 2024 Federal Signal paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Federal Signal Reports Next Week Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth |
- Analyzing Federal Signal's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Federal Signal's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Federal Signal's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Federal Signal's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Federal Signal's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Federal Signal's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Federal Signal's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Federal Signal. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. For more information on how to buy Federal Stock please use our How to Invest in Federal Signal guide.You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Federal Stock analysis
When running Federal Signal's price analysis, check to measure Federal Signal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Federal Signal is operating at the current time. Most of Federal Signal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Federal Signal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Federal Signal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Federal Signal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation | |
| Bonds Directory Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies | |
| Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. | |
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data | |
| Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon | |
| Earnings Calls Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges | |
| Economic Indicators Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing | |
| Portfolio Center All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Correlation Analysis Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated | |
| Investing Opportunities Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences |
Is Federal Signal's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Federal Signal. If investors know Federal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Federal Signal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.314 | Dividend Share 0.39 | Earnings Share 2.56 | Revenue Per Share 28.381 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.145 |
The market value of Federal Signal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Federal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Federal Signal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Federal Signal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Federal Signal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Federal Signal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Federal Signal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Federal Signal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Federal Signal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.