Cedar Fair Lp Stock Volatility
| FUN Stock | USD 38.08 0.38 0.99% |
Cedar Fair LP secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0093, which signifies that the company had a -0.0093% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Cedar Fair LP exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Cedar Fair's mean deviation of 1.14, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0083 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Cedar Fair's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Cedar Fair Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Cedar daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Cedar's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Cedar Fair volatility.
Cedar |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Cedar Fair can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Cedar Fair at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Cedar stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Cedar Fair's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with Cedar Stock
| 0.68 | DIN | Dine Brands Global Financial Report 1st of May 2024 | PairCorr |
Cedar Fair Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Cedar Fair's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Cedar stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Cedar stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Cedar Fair's beta of 0.65 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Cedar Fair stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Cedar Fair LP has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.14 and kurtosis of 0.67. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cedar Fair's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cedar Fair's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Cedar Fair LP Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Cedar Fair correlation with market (NYSE Composite)Cedar Beta |
Cedar standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.47 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Cedar Fair's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Cedar Fair's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in cedar stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Cedar Fair.
Using Cedar Put Option to Manage Risk
Put options written on Cedar Fair grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Cedar Fair at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Cedar Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Cedar Fair's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Cedar Fair will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.
Cedar Fair's PUT expiring on 2024-04-19
Profit |
| Cedar Fair Price At Expiration |
Current Cedar Fair Insurance Chain
| Delta | Gamma | Open Int | Expiration | Current Spread | Last Price | |||
Put | 2024-04-19 PUT at $45.0 | -0.8973 | 0.0393 | 4 | 2024-04-19 | 5.1 - 8.4 | 6.1 | View |
Put | 2024-04-19 PUT at $40.0 | -0.7498 | 0.148 | 17 | 2024-04-19 | 0.6 - 3.1 | 1.35 | View |
Cedar Fair LP Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Cedar Fair stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Cedar Fair's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Cedar Fair's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Cedar Fair's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Cedar Fair's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Cedar Fair's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Cedar Fair's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Cedar Fair's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Cedar Fair LP Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Cedar Fair Projected Return Density Against Market
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Cedar Fair has a beta of 0.6527 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Cedar Fair average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cedar Fair LP will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cedar Fair or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cedar Fair's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cedar stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Cedar Fair LP has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Cedar Fair Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Cedar Fair Stock Risk Measures
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Cedar Fair is -10802.3. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 2.15 and standard deviation of 1.47. The mean deviation of Cedar Fair LP is currently at 1.14. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Cedar Fair Stock Return Volatility
Cedar Fair historical daily return volatility represents how much of Cedar Fair stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm has volatility of 1.4668% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6179% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Cedar Fair Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Cedar Fair or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Cedar Fair may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Cedar's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Cedar Fair and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Cedar Fair fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Market Cap | 1.8 B | 1 B |
Cedar Fair's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Cedar Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Cedar Fair's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Cedar Fair's volatility to invest better
Higher Cedar Fair's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Cedar Fair LP stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Cedar Fair LP stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Cedar Fair LP investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Cedar Fair's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Cedar Fair's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Cedar Fair Investment Opportunity
Cedar Fair LP has a volatility of 1.47 and is 2.37 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 12 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Cedar Fair. You can use Cedar Fair LP to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a moderate downward daily trend and can be a good diversifier. Check odds of Cedar Fair to be traded at $37.32 in 90 days.Modest diversification
The correlation between Cedar Fair LP and NYA is 0.28 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cedar Fair LP and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Cedar Fair Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cedar Fair's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cedar Fair's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Cedar Fair stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0083 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.004 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 23894.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.45 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Cedar Fair Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Cedar Fair as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Cedar Fair's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Cedar Fair's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Cedar Fair LP.
When determining whether Cedar Fair LP offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Cedar Fair's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cedar Fair Lp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cedar Fair Lp Stock: Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Cedar Fair LP. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Cedar Stock analysis
When running Cedar Fair's price analysis, check to measure Cedar Fair's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cedar Fair is operating at the current time. Most of Cedar Fair's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cedar Fair's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cedar Fair's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cedar Fair to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cedar Fair's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cedar Fair. If investors know Cedar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cedar Fair listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | Dividend Share 1.2 | Earnings Share 2.42 | Revenue Per Share 35.311 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.014 |
The market value of Cedar Fair LP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cedar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cedar Fair's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cedar Fair's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cedar Fair's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cedar Fair's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cedar Fair's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cedar Fair is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cedar Fair's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.