Genpact Limited Stock Price Prediction

G Stock  USD 32.76  0.45  1.39%   
As of 28th of March 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Genpact's share price is approaching 40. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Genpact, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

40

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Genpact Limited stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Genpact shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Genpact's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Genpact and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Genpact's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Genpact Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Genpact's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.311
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.71
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.01
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.3
Wall Street Target Price
37.9
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Genpact based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Genpact stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Genpact over a specific investment horizon. Using Genpact hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Genpact Limited from the perspective of Genpact response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Genpact using Genpact's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Genpact using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Genpact's stock price.

Genpact Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Genpact's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Genpact. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Genpact stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Genpact may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Genpact and may potentially protect profits, hedge Genpact with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
35.6701
Short Percent
0.014
Short Ratio
1.44
Shares Short Prior Month
2.6 M
50 Day MA
34.8862

Genpact Limited Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Genpact's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Genpact. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Genpact can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Genpact Limited. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Genpact's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Genpact.

Genpact Implied Volatility

    
  25.77  
Genpact's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Genpact Limited stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Genpact's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Genpact stock will not fluctuate a lot when Genpact's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Genpact. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Genpact to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Genpact because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Genpact after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 32.81  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Genpact Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Genpact's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.4838.0639.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.8032.2233.65
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
38.8342.6747.36
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.670.680.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Genpact. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Genpact's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Genpact's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Genpact Limited.

Genpact After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Genpact at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Genpact or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Genpact, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Genpact Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Genpact's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Genpact's historical news coverage. Genpact's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.39 and 34.23, respectively. We have considered Genpact's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
32.76
32.81
After-hype Price
34.23
Upside
Genpact is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Genpact Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.

Genpact Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Genpact is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Genpact backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Genpact, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
1.42
  0.05 
  0.04 
12 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
32.76
32.81
0.15 
229.03  
Notes

Genpact Hype Timeline

As of March 28, 2024 Genpact Limited is listed for 32.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Genpact is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 32.81 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Genpact is about 261.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.80. The company reported the annual revenue of 4.48 B. Net Income to common stockholders was 631.25 M with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.54 B. Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Genpact Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Genpact Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Genpact's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Genpact's future price movements. Getting to know how Genpact rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Genpact may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FIFiserv Inc 2.08 11 per month 0.45  0.17  1.67 (1.00) 4.13 
ITGartner 3.33 8 per month 1.22 (0) 2.15 (2.22) 5.16 
KDKyndryl Holdings 0.93 9 per month 1.86 (0.01) 2.89 (3.42) 9.86 
MGICMagic Software Enterprises(0.26)8 per month 1.81  0.07  3.68 (2.86) 11.70 
DMRCDigimarc(1.73)9 per month 0.00 (0.12) 5.23 (6.18) 21.05 
DTSTData Storage Corp 0.62 10 per month 3.14  0.26  15.11 (6.50) 28.31 
VNETVNET Group DRC(0.05)8 per month 0.00 (0.19) 8.94 (7.65) 21.66 
NABLN Able Inc(0.16)7 per month 1.24 (0.07) 2.70 (1.89) 7.68 
WAVDWavedancer 0.13 7 per month 8.59  0.16  21.76 (13.77) 66.08 

Genpact Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Genpact price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Genpact using various technical indicators. When you analyze Genpact charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Genpact Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Genpact stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Genpact Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Genpact based on analysis of Genpact hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Genpact's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Genpact's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Price Earnings Ratio26.9824.1410.039.53
Short Term Coverage Ratios1.561.920.980.93

Story Coverage note for Genpact

The number of cover stories for Genpact depends on current market conditions and Genpact's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Genpact is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Genpact's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Genpact Short Properties

Genpact's future price predictability will typically decrease when Genpact's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Genpact Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Genpact's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Genpact's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding185.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments583.7 M
When determining whether Genpact Limited is a strong investment it is important to analyze Genpact's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Genpact's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Genpact Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Genpact Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Genpact Limited information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Genpact's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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Is Genpact's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Genpact. If investors know Genpact will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Genpact listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.311
Dividend Share
0.55
Earnings Share
3.41
Revenue Per Share
24.552
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.04
The market value of Genpact Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Genpact that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Genpact's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Genpact's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Genpact's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Genpact's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Genpact's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Genpact is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Genpact's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.