AB Cap Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

GCECX -- USA Fund  

USD 13.61  0.06  0.44%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AB Cap Fund Inc AB Global C which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With AB Cap hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of AB Cap Fund Inc AB Global C from the prospective of AB Cap response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on AB Cap over a specific investment horizon. Please also check AB Cap Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

AB Cap After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

AB Cap Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

November 15, 2019
13.61
Current Value
13.61
After-hype Price
16.40
Upside
AB Cap is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AB Cap Fund is based on 3 months time horizon.

AB Cap Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.11  0.93% 0.00   0.02  0 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.6113.610.00 
0.00

AB Cap Hype Timeline

AB Cap Fund is currently traded for13.61. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. AB Cap Fund Inc AB Global C is anticipated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to AB Cap is about 489.47%%. The volatility of related hype on AB Cap is about 489.47% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 13.63. The company last dividend was issued on Decemberember 14, 2018. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Please also check AB Cap Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

AB Cap Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Capital World Growth And Income 0.23 7 per month 0.56 (0.0223)  1.10 (1.21)  3.17 
New Perspective Fund Class C S(0.05) 10 per month 0.77 (0.0159)  1.15 (1.27)  3.98 
New Perspective Fund Class R 3(0.60) 13 per month 0.70 (0.0176)  1.24 (1.37)  3.37 
Mutual Global Discovery Fund Cl 0.06 10 per month 0.63 (0.016)  1.18 (1.36)  3.34 
Invesco Oppenheimer Global Fund 0.71 10 per month 0.73  0.0288  1.47 (1.42)  3.37 
Invesco Oppenheimer Global Fund 0.71 9 per month 0.59 (0.0059)  1.47 (1.41)  3.31 
Invesco Oppenheimer Global Fund 0.72 9 per month 0.76  0.022  1.48 (1.72)  3.73 
DFA Global Equity Portfolio Cla 0.12 1 per month 0.49  0.0046  1.41 (1.25)  3.76 
Dimensional Investment Grp Glob 0.00 0 per month 0.65  0.0042  1.37 (0.77)  4.34 
American Funds Global Growth Po 0.00 0 per month 0.57 (0.0171)  1.20 (1.54)  3.05 
Please also check AB Cap Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine historical correlation between any two equity instruments.
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