Aberdeen Emerging Markets Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

GEMRX Fund  USD 12.76  0.07  0.55%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.14, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Aberdeen Emerging's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aberdeen Emerging is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Aberdeen Emerging Markets are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Aberdeen Emerging is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio1.7500
  

Aberdeen Emerging Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,236  in Aberdeen Emerging Markets on January 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  40.00  from holding Aberdeen Emerging Markets or generate 3.24% return on investment over 90 days. Aberdeen Emerging Markets is currently producing 0.053% returns and takes up 0.708% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 6% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Aberdeen, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aberdeen Emerging is expected to generate 1.54 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.12 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The NYSE Composite is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Aberdeen Emerging Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
12.76
Please note that Aberdeen Emerging's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Aberdeen Emerging Markets shows a prevailing Real Value of $12.59 per share. The current price of the fund is $12.76. We determine the value of Aberdeen Emerging Markets from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Our valuation method for Aberdeen Emerging Markets is useful when determining the fair value of the Aberdeen mutual fund, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Aberdeen Emerging. Since Aberdeen Emerging is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Aberdeen Mutual Fund. However, Aberdeen Emerging's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  12.76 Real  12.59 Hype  12.57 Naive  12.27
The real value of Aberdeen Mutual Fund, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Aberdeen Emerging Markets Mutual Fund, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Aberdeen Emerging's financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Aberdeen Emerging's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Aberdeen Emerging's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
12.59
Real Value
13.29
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Aberdeen Emerging Markets helps investors to forecast how Aberdeen mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Aberdeen Emerging more accurately as focusing exclusively on Aberdeen Emerging's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.4912.9213.36
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.8712.5713.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
11.5712.2712.97
Details

Aberdeen Emerging Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aberdeen Emerging's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Aberdeen Emerging Markets, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Aberdeen Emerging's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0749

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.71
  actual daily
6
94% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.05
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.07
  actual daily
5
95% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Aberdeen Emerging is performing at about 5% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Aberdeen Emerging by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Aberdeen Emerging Fundamentals Growth

Aberdeen Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Aberdeen Emerging, and Aberdeen Emerging fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Aberdeen Mutual Fund performance.

About Aberdeen Emerging Performance

To evaluate Aberdeen Emerging Markets Mutual Fund as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Aberdeen Emerging generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Aberdeen Mutual Fund's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Aberdeen Emerging Markets market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Aberdeen's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests primarily in common stocks, but may also invest in other types of equity securities, including, but not limited to, preferred stock and depositary receipts. It invests at least 80 percent of the value of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment purposes, in equity securities of emerging market companies. The fund may invest in securities denominated in U.S. Dollars and currencies of emerging market countries in which it is permitted to invest. It may invest in securities of any market capitalization, including small and mid-cap securities.

Things to note about Aberdeen Emerging Markets performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aberdeen Emerging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Aberdeen Emerging Markets help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aberdeen Emerging Markets generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund retains 99.1% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Evaluating Aberdeen Emerging's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Aberdeen Emerging's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Aberdeen Emerging's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Aberdeen Emerging's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Aberdeen Emerging's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Aberdeen Emerging's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Aberdeen Emerging's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Aberdeen Emerging's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Aberdeen Emerging's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Aberdeen Emerging's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Aberdeen Emerging's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Aberdeen Emerging Markets. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aberdeen Emerging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aberdeen Emerging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aberdeen Emerging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.