Genworth Financial Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

GNW -- USA Stock  

Earnings Report: February 4, 2020  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Genworth Financial which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Genworth Financial hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Genworth Financial from the prospective of Genworth Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Genworth Financial over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Genworth Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Genworth Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Genworth Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

November 11, 2019
4.02
Current Value
4.03
After-hype Price
9.25
Upside
Genworth Financial is risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Genworth Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Genworth Financial Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.15  1.74% 0.01   0.01  8 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.024.030.25 
3,480

Genworth Financial Hype Timeline

On 11 of November Genworth Financial is traded for 4.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Genworth Financial is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 4.03. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 3480.0%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.25% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Genworth Financial is about 2430.17% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 4.01. The company reported last year revenue of 8.57 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 260 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 784 M. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Please also check Genworth Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Genworth Financial Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CNO Financial Group 0.09 6 per month 1.93  0.05  3.04 (3.37)  7.55 
AFLAC Incorporated(0.10) 10 per month 1.56 (0.0223)  1.33 (1.86)  7.09 
FEDERAL LIFE GROUP INC 0.00 7 per month 0.00  0.06  0.00  0.00  6.67 
FGL Holdings 0.04 10 per month 1.23  0.15  3.32 (2.84)  11.79 
Globe Life(1.76) 7 per month 1.48  0.08  2.12 (2.48)  5.76 
EMERGENT CAPITAL INC(0.016) 10 per month 8.09  0.0365  12.61 (14.29)  46.74 
Brighthouse Financial 0.34 9 per month 2.16  0.07  3.70 (3.58)  9.40 
American Equity Investment Life 0.41 9 per month 2.21  0.12  3.33 (3.68)  8.90 
Citizens 0.23 7 per month 0.00 (0.0444)  2.89 (2.98)  9.41 
FBL Financial Group 0.05 8 per month 1.79 (0.0475)  2.55 (2.80)  6.40 

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Latest Prospective on Genworth Financial

Please also check Genworth Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
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