Alphabet Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

GOOG -- USA Stock  

USD 1,038  4.11  0.39%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alphabet which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Alphabet hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Alphabet from the prospective of Alphabet response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Alphabet over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Alphabet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Alphabet After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Alphabet Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

December 17, 2018
1,038
Current Value
1,044
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
1,050
Upside
Alphabet is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alphabet is based on 2 months time horizon.

Alphabet Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.08% 2.25% 0.82%  0.13% 6 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1,0381,0440.14%
21.91% 

Alphabet Hype Timeline

Alphabet is currently traded for1,038. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.82 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. Alphabet is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 1043.54. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 21.91%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.14% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Alphabet is about 141.6% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1038.12. The company reported previous year revenue of 129.87B. Net Income was 18.77B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 65.27B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 6 days.
Please also check Alphabet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Alphabet Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CA 5.40 7 per month 5.37  0.13  1.49 (0.62)  81.99 
Workday 0.83 7 per month 3.25  0.18  5.66 (4.97)  17.45 
Computer Sciences Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14)  0.00  0.00  85.89 
Xunlei Limited(0.01) 7 per month 0.00 (0.18)  4.88 (4.85)  18.28 
Teradata Corporation 0.27 7 per month 1.62  0.15  3.20 (2.44)  10.61 
Unisys Corporation 0.02 7 per month 0.00 (0.38)  2.45 (5.41)  15.84 
VMware(1.17) 10 per month 2.01  0.15  4.04 (3.26)  8.10 
Alphabet 10.27 6 per month 0.00 (0.0054)  3.91 (4.80)  9.30 
Sabre Corporation 0.30 7 per month 0.00  0.0076  2.88 (3.71)  10.49 
China Information Technology(0.02) 1 per month 0.00  0.18  1.14 (1.13)  2.27 

Contributor Headline

Latest Prospective on Alphabet

over a year ago at Macroaxis 
By Nathan Young
  

Google is in the news for a memo that was released, essentially stating there are biased opinions still in the company. For a large company such as Google, this is a public rela...

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