Alphabet Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

GOOG -- USA Stock  

USD 1,221  8.78  0.71%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alphabet which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Alphabet hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Alphabet from the prospective of Alphabet response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Alphabet over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Alphabet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Alphabet After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Alphabet Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 21, 2019
1,221
Current Value
1,220
After-hype Price
1,226
Upside
Alphabet is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alphabet is based on 3 months time horizon.

Alphabet Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.16% 1.82% 0.73%  0.21% 9 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1,2211,2200.06%
40.09% 

Alphabet Hype Timeline

Alphabet is currently traded for1,221. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.73 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.21. Alphabet is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 1220.42. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 40.09%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.06% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Alphabet is about 140.76% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1220.94. About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Alphabet was currently reported as 276.91. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.01. Alphabet recorded earning per share (EPS) of 49.53. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 10000000:10000000 split on 2015-04-27. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Please also check Alphabet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Alphabet Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CA 0.00 0 per month 0.50 (0.014)  0.48 (0.43)  3.11 
Workday(6.72) 7 per month 0.00 (0.17)  3.01 (3.36)  9.36 
Computer Sciences Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Xunlei Limited American Depos 0.06 5 per month 3.65  0.0134  6.84 (7.55)  36.19 
Teradata Corporation(1.10) 10 per month 0.00 (0.07)  3.41 (3.43)  11.62 
Unisys Corporation New 0.40 8 per month 0.00 (0.06)  5.63 (6.96)  25.19 
Vmware(1.21) 8 per month 0.00 (0.09)  2.97 (4.25)  12.91 
Alphabet(4.54) 9 per month 1.26  0.09  1.92 (2.61)  13.94 
Sabre Corporation 0.18 10 per month 1.11 (0.0051)  1.83 (1.55)  7.37 
ChinaCache International Holdings Ltd 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Please also check Alphabet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
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