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Alphabet Stock Price Prediction

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GOOG -- USA Stock  

USD 1,334  15.91  1.21%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alphabet, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Using Alphabet hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alphabet from the perspective of Alphabet response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The Alphabet stock price prediction module also provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Alphabet over a specific investment horizon. Please check Alphabet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
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Alphabet After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

Alphabet Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
1,334
February 28, 2020
1,313
After-hype Price
1,318
Upside
Alphabet is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alphabet is based on 3 months time horizon.

Alphabet Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.06  1.44  0.30   0.03  10 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1,3341,3130.00 
28.51  

Alphabet Hype Timeline

Alphabet is currently traded for1,334. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.3 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Alphabet is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 28.51%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Alphabet is about 342.04%%. The volatility of related hype on Alphabet is about 342.04% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1333.97. About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Alphabet was currently reported as 292.65. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.63. Alphabet recorded earning per share (EPS) of 49.16. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 10000000:10000000 split on 2015-04-27. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 10 days.
Please check Alphabet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Alphabet Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CA 0.00 0 per month 0.50  0.34  0.48 (0.43)  3.11 
Workday 4.70 11 per month 0.00  0.06  3.25 (3.55)  7.13 
Salesforce Com(2.37) 12 per month 1.29  0.17  2.03 (2.00)  6.89 
Computer Sciences Corp 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Xunlei Limited American Depos 0.11 1 per month 0.00 (0.0156)  5.81 (4.80)  22.78 
Teradata Corporation(0.14) 11 per month 0.00 (0.16)  2.41 (4.17)  13.68 
Unisys Corporation New 0.42 11 per month 2.67  0.11  4.44 (4.76)  50.64 
Vmware(1.39) 6 per month 0.00 (0.07)  2.75 (3.43)  10.45 
Alphabet(5.05) 10 per month 1.64  0.11  1.99 (2.33)  7.88 
Sabre Corporation(0.49) 11 per month 0.00 (0.17)  1.85 (5.94)  18.58 
Please check Alphabet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing balance of power indicator and other technical ratios.
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