Alphabet Price Prediction

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Alphabet headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alphabet Inc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Alphabet hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Alphabet Inc from the prospective of Alphabet response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Alphabet over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Alphabet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Alphabet estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Embed  
Expected price to next headline
December 11, 2016
789.29
Current Value
Downside upside
Downside
784.42
788.29
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
792.16
Upside
Upside upside
Alphabet is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alphabet Inc is based on 1 month time horizon.

Alphabet Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.23% 1.29% 1.00%  0.03% 2 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
789.29788.290.13%
29.59% 

Alphabet Hype Timeline

Alphabet Inc is currently traded for 789.29 . This company has historical hype elasticity of -1.0 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Alphabet Inc is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 788.29. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 29.59%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.13% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Alphabet is about 1163.16% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 789.26. About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. Book value of Alphabet Inc was currently as 194.6. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.16. Alphabet Inc recorded earning per share (EPS) of 27.32. This company had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 10000000:10000000 split on April 27, 2015. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Please also check Alphabet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Alphabet Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Dencity
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Alphabet Inc(4.36)2 per month 1.58 (0.14)(1.08) 1.66 (2.33) 4.71 
Facebook Inc 0.47 2 per month 0.00 (0.21) 0.00  1.84 (2.88) 6.94 
Baidu Inc 0.27 2 per month 1.36 (0.11)(1.38) 1.83 (2.36) 4.03 
Yahoo Inc 0.60 2 per month 1.41 (0.03)(1.24) 2.20 (2.77) 5.70 
Akamai Technologies Inc 0.25 1 per month 0.00 (0.22) 0.00  1.68 (2.07) 6.46 
VeriSign Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.41 (0.17)(1.05) 1.79 (1.69) 3.52 
Intrasoft Technologies Ltd 0.00 0 per month 2.33 (0.02)(2.44) 5.16 (3.83) 9.00 
Zillow Group Inc(0.48)1 per month 1.76  0.02 (2.21) 2.85 (3.55) 12.87 
58 Inc(0.34)2 per month 0.00 (0.23) 0.00  3.74 (5.27) 17.04 
GrubHub Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.00  3.09 (4.08) 7.63 
NetSuite Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.44) 0.00  1.27 (3.89) 9.32 
Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.79  0.11 (1.06) 2.90 (1.06) 6.59 
CA Inc 0.27 1 per month 2.23 (0.15)(0.84) 2.10 (2.31) 6.48 
Gartner Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.71 (0.05)(0.74) 1.89 (1.22) 3.69 
Sabre Corporation 0.53 1 per month 0.00  0.22  0.00  2.14 (1.12) 3.91 
IMS Health Holdings Inc(0.16)1 per month 0.15  0.0015 (0.94) 1.83 (0.81) 2.67 
IACInterActiveCorp(0.06)3 per month 1.43 (0.03)(0.81) 1.74 (1.67) 5.26 
International Business Machines Corporation 0.58 2 per month 0.53  0.09 (0.91) 2.77 (1.48) 5.35 
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company(0.38)2 per month 0.73  0.04 (1.19) 2.97 (1.40) 4.78 
CDW Corporation 0.48 1 per month 0.76  0.32 (1.85) 4.50 (1.06) 5.99 
CDK Global Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.90 (0.0080)(0.90) 1.88 (1.62) 3.92