Gray Television Stock Price Prediction
| GTN Stock | USD 5.79 0.14 2.48% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
0
Oversold | Overbought |
Gray Television stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Gray Television shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Gray Television's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Gray Television and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Gray Television's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gray Television, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Gray Television's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 10.164 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.16 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.57 | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.53) | Wall Street Target Price 10.42 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Gray Television based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Gray stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Gray Television over a specific investment horizon. Using Gray Television hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gray Television from the perspective of Gray Television response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gray Television using Gray Television's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gray using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gray Television's stock price.
Gray Television Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Gray Television's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Gray. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Gray Television stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Gray Television may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Gray Television and may potentially protect profits, hedge Gray Television with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 7.6614 | Short Percent 0.0774 | Short Ratio 4.72 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.5 M | 50 Day MA 6.4608 |
Gray Television Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Gray Television's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gray. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gray can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gray Television. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Gray Television's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Gray Television.
Gray Television Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Gray Television's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gray Television stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gray Television's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gray Television stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gray Television's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Gray Television. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gray Television to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gray because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gray Television after-hype prediction price | USD 5.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gray |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gray Television's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gray Television After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gray Television at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gray Television or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gray Television, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gray Television Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gray Television's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gray Television's historical news coverage. Gray Television's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.06 and 10.24, respectively. We have considered Gray Television's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gray Television is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gray Television is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gray Television Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gray Television is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gray Television backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gray Television, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.55 | 4.61 | 0.10 | 0.09 | 6 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.79 | 5.65 | 1.91 |
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Gray Television Hype Timeline
On the 18th of April 2024 Gray Television is traded for 5.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Gray is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 5.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.91%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.55%. The volatility of related hype on Gray Television is about 2881.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.70. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.28. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Gray Television has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.2. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.39. The firm last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2024. Gray Television had 3:2 split on the 1st of October 1998. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Gray Television Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gray Television Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gray Television's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gray Television's future price movements. Getting to know how Gray Television's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gray Television may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SJ | Scienjoy Holding Corp | 0.07 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 6.41 | (12.00) | 67.29 | |
| LPTV | Loop Media | (0.05) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 10.00 | (14.55) | 58.22 | |
| CURI | Curiositystream | (0.03) | 10 per month | 4.55 | 0.15 | 10.85 | (6.38) | 83.79 | |
| LSXMA | Liberty Media | (0.83) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 1.80 | (2.86) | 6.25 | |
| LSXMK | Liberty Media | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 1.91 | (2.90) | 5.98 |
Gray Television Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gray price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gray using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gray charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gray Television Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gray Television stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gray Television, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gray Television based on analysis of Gray Television hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gray Television's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gray Television's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0433 | 0.0797 | 0.0995 | 0.0534 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.79 | 0.28 | 0.25 | 0.24 |
Story Coverage note for Gray Television
The number of cover stories for Gray Television depends on current market conditions and Gray Television's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gray Television is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gray Television's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gray Television Short Properties
Gray Television's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gray Television's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gray Television often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gray Television's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gray Television's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 92 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21 M |
Check out Gray Television Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Gray Stock, please use our How to Invest in Gray Television guide.You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Complementary Tools for Gray Stock analysis
When running Gray Television's price analysis, check to measure Gray Television's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gray Television is operating at the current time. Most of Gray Television's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gray Television's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gray Television's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gray Television to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Gray Television's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gray Television. If investors know Gray will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gray Television listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 10.164 | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share (1.39) | Revenue Per Share 35.663 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.19) |
The market value of Gray Television is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gray that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gray Television's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gray Television's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gray Television's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gray Television's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gray Television's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gray Television is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gray Television's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.