Hawaiian Holdings Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

HA -- USA Stock  

Earnings Call : This Week

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hawaiian Holdings which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Hawaiian Holdings hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Hawaiian Holdings from the prospective of Hawaiian Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Hawaiian Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Hawaiian Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Hawaiian Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Hawaiian Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 16, 2019
27.52
Current Value
28.53
After-hype Price
36.96
Upside
Hawaiian Holdings is somewhat reliable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hawaiian Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hawaiian Holdings Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.11  2.83% 0.03   0.00  6 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.5228.530.11 
1,179

Hawaiian Holdings Hype Timeline

As of October 16, 2019 Hawaiian Holdings is listed for 27.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Hawaiian Holdings is suggested to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 28.53. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1179.17%. The price increase on the next news is anticipated to be 0.11% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Hawaiian Holdings is about 6288.89% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 27.52. The company generated yearly revenue of 2.83 B. Reported Net Income was 219.37 M with gross profit of 767.32 M. Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, the next suggested press release will be in about 6 days.
Please also check Hawaiian Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Hawaiian Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Hawaiian Holdings 0.24 6 per month 2.84  0.0311  4.43 (4.67)  13.03 
American Airlines Group(0.62) 11 per month 0.00 (0.09)  3.08 (5.13)  11.19 
Alaska Air Group(0.80) 8 per month 1.49  0.08  2.62 (2.85)  6.98 
Avianca Holdings S A(0.07) 7 per month 0.00 (0.0118)  7.17 (4.52)  14.43 
China Eastern Airlines Corporat 0.01 9 per month 0.00 (0.08)  3.60 (5.35)  10.61 
Copa Holdings S A Copa Holdin 1.02 9 per month 1.79  0.0093  2.47 (2.61)  16.62 
Delta Air Lines(0.56) 9 per month 0.00 (0.12)  1.86 (2.80)  7.60 
Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes 0.75 10 per month 0.00 (0.06)  5.51 (6.95)  13.91 
LATAM Airlines Group S A(0.03) 8 per month 2.84  0.07  5.26 (5.53)  37.09 
Southwest Airlines Company(0.39) 9 per month 1.34  0.06  2.23 (2.32)  6.01 
Please also check Hawaiian Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
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