Halliburton Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

HAL -- USA Stock  

USD 35.11  1.97  5.31%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Halliburton Company which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Halliburton hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Halliburton Company from the prospective of Halliburton response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Halliburton over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Halliburton Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Halliburton After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Halliburton Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 23, 2018
35.11
Current Value
37.33
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
41.44
Upside
Halliburton is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Halliburton is based on 1 month time horizon.

Halliburton Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.44% 1.37% 0.24%  0.07% 4 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
35.1137.330.56%
253.70% 

Halliburton Hype Timeline

On 23 of October Halliburton Company is traded for 35.11. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.24 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Halliburton Company is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 37.33. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 253.7%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.56% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.44%. The volatility of related hype on Halliburton is about 813.97% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 35.18. About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Halliburton Company was currently reported as 10.04. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.49. Halliburton Company last dividend was issued on 2018-09-04. This company had 2:1 split on 2006-07-17. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days.
Please also check Halliburton Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Halliburton Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CJ Energy Services(0.13) 2 per month 0.00 (0.09)  2.08 (5.39)  11.00 
Franks International N V 0.26 5 per month 0.00 (0.06)  3.58 (3.93)  12.54 
ION Geophysical Corporation 0.34 2 per month 0.00 (0.06)  3.28 (3.77)  15.75 
Newpark Resources 0.25 4 per month 0.00 (0.15)  4.48 (4.26)  9.72 
NOW 0.35 4 per month 0.00 (0.25)  2.35 (4.20)  7.28 
Dawson Geophysical Company(0.28) 3 per month 0.00 (0.0258)  4.19 (4.28)  13.71 
Enservco Corporation(0.0375) 3 per month 0.00  0.0239  5.10 (3.55)  10.67 
Eco Stim Energy Solutions(0.0394) 3 per month 0.00 (0.38)  11.40 (15.38)  28.09 
Exterran Corporation 0.98 2 per month 0.00 (0.1)  3.44 (3.11)  7.91 
Apergy Corporation(0.01) 4 per month 0.00 (0.07)  1.81 (3.72)  8.18 

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