Hamilton Beach Brands Stock Price Prediction
HBB Stock | USD 21.13 0.16 0.75% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Hamilton Beach Brands stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Hamilton Beach shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Hamilton Beach's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Hamilton Beach and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Hamilton Beach's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hamilton Beach Brands, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Hamilton Beach's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.744 | Wall Street Target Price 13 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.053 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Hamilton Beach based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Hamilton stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Hamilton Beach over a specific investment horizon. Using Hamilton Beach hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hamilton Beach Brands from the perspective of Hamilton Beach response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hamilton Beach using Hamilton Beach's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hamilton using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hamilton Beach's stock price.
Hamilton Beach Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Hamilton Beach's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hamilton Beach Brands stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hamilton Beach's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hamilton Beach stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hamilton Beach's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Hamilton Beach. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hamilton Beach to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hamilton because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Hamilton Beach after-hype prediction price | USD 21.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hamilton |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hamilton Beach's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hamilton Beach After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hamilton Beach at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hamilton Beach or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hamilton Beach, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Hamilton Beach Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hamilton Beach's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hamilton Beach's historical news coverage. Hamilton Beach's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.80 and 25.06, respectively. We have considered Hamilton Beach's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hamilton Beach is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hamilton Beach Brands is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hamilton Beach Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hamilton Beach is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hamilton Beach backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hamilton Beach, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 3.63 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
21.13 | 21.43 | 0.66 |
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Hamilton Beach Hype Timeline
On the 19th of April Hamilton Beach Brands is traded for 21.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Hamilton is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.43 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.66%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Hamilton Beach is about 836.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.02. The company reported the last year's revenue of 625.62 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 25.24 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 129.11 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Hamilton Beach Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Hamilton Beach Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hamilton Beach's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hamilton Beach's future price movements. Getting to know how Hamilton Beach's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hamilton Beach may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
MMAT | Meta Materials | (0.20) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 25.40 | (14.29) | 52.59 | |
ANY | Sphere 3D Corp | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 14.62 | (10.24) | 40.28 | |
KPLT | Katapult Holdings | (3.42) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.99 | (5.77) | 44.39 | |
AQUI | Aquagold International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | |
LBHIX | Thrivent High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 0.48 | (0.48) | 1.21 | |
MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | (0.26) | 3 per month | 0.64 | (0.05) | 0.98 | (1.06) | 3.20 | |
VIASP | Via Renewables | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.28 | 0.04 | 3.60 | (3.74) | 13.41 | |
RRTLX | T Rowe Price | (0.40) | 1 per month | 0.31 | (0.15) | 0.51 | (0.59) | 1.46 | |
OSHDF | Oshidori International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
70082LAB3 | US70082LAB36 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.52 | (1.89) | 17.21 |
Hamilton Beach Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hamilton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hamilton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hamilton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Hamilton Beach Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Hamilton Beach stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hamilton Beach Brands, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hamilton Beach based on analysis of Hamilton Beach hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hamilton Beach's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hamilton Beach's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0274 | 0.0334 | 0.0248 | 0.0472 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.3 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.46 |
Story Coverage note for Hamilton Beach
The number of cover stories for Hamilton Beach depends on current market conditions and Hamilton Beach's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hamilton Beach is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hamilton Beach's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hamilton Beach Short Properties
Hamilton Beach's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hamilton Beach's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hamilton Beach Brands often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hamilton Beach's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hamilton Beach's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.1 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.4 M |
Check out Hamilton Beach Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Hamilton Beach Brands information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hamilton Beach's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Hamilton Stock analysis
When running Hamilton Beach's price analysis, check to measure Hamilton Beach's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hamilton Beach is operating at the current time. Most of Hamilton Beach's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hamilton Beach's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hamilton Beach's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hamilton Beach to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hamilton Beach's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hamilton Beach. If investors know Hamilton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hamilton Beach listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.744 | Dividend Share 0.435 | Earnings Share 1.8 | Revenue Per Share 44.573 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.053 |
The market value of Hamilton Beach Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hamilton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hamilton Beach's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hamilton Beach's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hamilton Beach's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hamilton Beach's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hamilton Beach's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hamilton Beach is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hamilton Beach's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.