Correlation Between HMN Financial and First Capital

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both HMN Financial and First Capital at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining HMN Financial and First Capital into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between HMN Financial and First Capital, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on HMN Financial and First Capital and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in HMN Financial with a short position of First Capital. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of HMN Financial and First Capital.

Diversification Opportunities for HMN Financial and First Capital

0.46
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between HMN and First is 0.46. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding HMN Financial and First Capital in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Capital and HMN Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on HMN Financial are associated (or correlated) with First Capital. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Capital has no effect on the direction of HMN Financial i.e., HMN Financial and First Capital go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between HMN Financial and First Capital

Given the investment horizon of 90 days HMN Financial is expected to under-perform the First Capital. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, HMN Financial is 1.58 times less risky than First Capital. The stock trades about -0.34 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The First Capital is currently generating about -0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,890  in First Capital on January 26, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (105.00) from holding First Capital or give up 3.63% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

HMN Financial  vs.  First Capital

 Performance 
       Timeline  
HMN Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days HMN Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in May 2024. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.
First Capital 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days First Capital has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, First Capital is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

HMN Financial and First Capital Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with HMN Financial and First Capital

The main advantage of trading using opposite HMN Financial and First Capital positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if HMN Financial position performs unexpectedly, First Capital can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Capital will offset losses from the drop in First Capital's long position.
The idea behind HMN Financial and First Capital pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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