Hmn Financial Stock Price Prediction
| HMNF Stock | USD 19.50 0.10 0.51% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
HMN Financial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of HMN Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of HMN Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of HMN Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from HMN Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with HMN Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting HMN Financial's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.19) | Wall Street Target Price 27 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of HMN Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The HMN stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on HMN Financial over a specific investment horizon. Using HMN Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HMN Financial from the perspective of HMN Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in HMN Financial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in HMN Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying HMN because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
HMN Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 19.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
HMN |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HMN Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
HMN Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of HMN Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in HMN Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of HMN Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
HMN Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting HMN Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on HMN Financial's historical news coverage. HMN Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.01 and 21.05, respectively. We have considered HMN Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
HMN Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of HMN Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
HMN Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as HMN Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HMN Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HMN Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.53 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.50 | 19.53 | 0.15 |
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HMN Financial Hype Timeline
HMN Financial is currently traded for 19.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. HMN is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 19.53 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.2%. The volatility of related hype on HMN Financial is about 741.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.46. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 43.48 M. Net Income was 6 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40.07 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out HMN Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.HMN Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to HMN Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict HMN Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how HMN Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how HMN Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HVBC | HV Bancorp | (0.52) | 3 per month | 2.03 | 0.10 | 2.68 | (4.11) | 18.63 | |
| MGYR | Magyar Bancorp | (0.60) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.99 | (2.48) | 9.53 | |
| OFED | Oconee Federal Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.48 | (5.39) | 18.73 | |
| CULL | Cullman Bancorp | 0.02 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.45 | (1.85) | 9.11 | |
| HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.92 | (3.87) | 11.57 | |
| FFNW | First Financial Northwest | (0.16) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.12 | (1.31) | 3.79 | |
| FNWB | First Northwest Bancorp | (0.1) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.90 | (3.41) | 15.26 | |
| FCAP | First Capital | 0.08 | 7 per month | 1.62 | (0.05) | 3.38 | (3.27) | 9.67 | |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | (0.80) | 8 per month | 1.52 | 0.05 | 3.35 | (2.71) | 33.39 | |
| LSBK | Lake Shore Bancorp | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.07 | (2.94) | 7.98 | |
| CIZN | Citizens Holding | (0.24) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.34 | (3.29) | 11.40 |
HMN Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine HMN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HMN using various technical indicators. When you analyze HMN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About HMN Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of HMN Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as HMN Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of HMN Financial based on analysis of HMN Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to HMN Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to HMN Financial's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0131 | 0.0124 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.3 | 2.99 |
Story Coverage note for HMN Financial
The number of cover stories for HMN Financial depends on current market conditions and HMN Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that HMN Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about HMN Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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HMN Financial Short Properties
HMN Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when HMN Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of HMN Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential HMN Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HMN Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.2 M |
Check out HMN Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in HMN Stock please use our How to Invest in HMN Financial guide.You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Complementary Tools for HMN Stock analysis
When running HMN Financial's price analysis, check to measure HMN Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HMN Financial is operating at the current time. Most of HMN Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HMN Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HMN Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HMN Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is HMN Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of HMN Financial. If investors know HMN will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about HMN Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.19) | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share 1.3 | Revenue Per Share 8.62 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of HMN Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of HMN that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of HMN Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is HMN Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because HMN Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect HMN Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between HMN Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HMN Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HMN Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.