Intelsat S Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

I -- USA Stock  

Sell-off Trend

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Intelsat S A which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Intelsat S hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Intelsat S A from the prospective of Intelsat S response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Intelsat S over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Intelsat S Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Intelsat S After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Intelsat S Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

November 21, 2019
7.07
Current Value
6.31
After-hype Price
32.14
Upside
Intelsat S is risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intelsat S A is based on 3 months time horizon.

Intelsat S Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 1.05  8.61% 0.76   0.01  8 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.076.3110.75 
1,196

Intelsat S Hype Timeline

As of November 21, 2019 Intelsat S A is listed for 7.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.76 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Intelsat S A is expected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 6.31. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1195.83%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -10.75% where as daily expected return is currently at -1.05%. The volatility of related hype on Intelsat S is about 61500.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 7.06. About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded loss per share of 8.21. Intelsat S A had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:1 split on August 13, 2013. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 8 days.
Please also check Intelsat S Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Intelsat S Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Cellcom Israel Ltd 0.04 9 per month 2.63  0.06  5.82 (4.46)  30.19 
BCE 0.38 10 per month 0.90 (0.05)  1.12 (0.93)  5.69 
CenturyLink 0.34 10 per month 2.27  0.14  5.22 (2.94)  15.53 
KT Corporation(0.02) 12 per month 0.73 (0.08)  1.45 (1.16)  4.47 
China Telecom Corp Ltd(0.03) 9 per month 0.00 (0.27)  1.44 (1.87)  6.91 
Cincinnati Bell 0.10 6 per month 4.18  0.0302  7.63 (6.96)  26.02 
Intelsat S A(0.72) 8 per month 0.00 (0.14)  5.97 (18.00)  53.00 
China Unicom Ltd(0.03) 6 per month 0.00 (0.19)  2.37 (2.07)  7.07 
China Mobile Limited(0.14) 9 per month 0.00 (0.20)  1.76 (1.27)  3.46 
Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd(0.06) 9 per month 0.08  0.10  0.77 (0.59)  2.14 
Please also check Intelsat S Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
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