International Business Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

IBM -- USA Stock  

Earnings Report: January 28, 2020  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with International Business Machines which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With International Business hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of International Business Machines from the prospective of International Business response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on International Business over a specific investment horizon. Please also check International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

International Business After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

International Business Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 19, 2019
134.09
Current Value
129.74
Downside
134.33
After-hype Price
138.92
Upside
International Business is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of International Business is based on 3 months time horizon.

International Business Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.14  1.53% 0.24   0.08  10 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
134.09134.330.18 
90.53

International Business Hype Timeline

On 19 of October International Business is traded for 134.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.24 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. International Business Machines is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 134.33. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 90.53%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.18% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on International Business is about 266.55% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 134.17. The company reported last year revenue of 77.86 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 8.74 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 36.94 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Please also check International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

International Business Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
International Business Machines 1.69 10 per month 0.00 (0.08)  1.66 (3.34)  8.93 
EPAM Systems 0.52 8 per month 0.00 (0.0082)  2.50 (3.83)  14.69 
CGI 0.85 10 per month 0.00 (0.0095)  1.19 (1.91)  4.22 
CDW Corporation 3.05 7 per month 2.09  0.1  2.74 (2.95)  11.60 
Digimarc Corporation(1.45) 7 per month 0.00 (0.05)  4.59 (4.60)  20.25 
Accenture Plc 0.86 7 per month 0.00 (0.024)  1.93 (2.65)  5.94 
DXC Technology Company 0.04 8 per month 0.00 (0.21)  3.85 (5.54)  34.00 
Gartner(0.04) 8 per month 0.00 (0.06)  1.90 (1.67)  20.74 
FRONTEO 0.36 10 per month 0.00  0.0041  7.05 (6.97)  24.56 
Computer Task Group Incorporat(0.14) 9 per month 1.42  0.15  4.61 (2.96)  13.08 
Please also check International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Fundamentals Matrix module to view fundamentals matrix and analyze how accounts are interrelated and interconnected with each other.
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