International Business Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

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IBM -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: March 31, 2020  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with International Business Machines which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With International Business hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of International Business Machines from the prospective of International Business response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on International Business over a specific investment horizon. Please also see International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

International Business After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

International Business Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
139.55
January 29, 2020
137.07
Downside
139.65
After-hype Price
142.23
Upside
International Business is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of International Business is based on 3 months time horizon.

International Business Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.07  0.86  0.10   0.01  5 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
139.55139.650.07 
63.24  

International Business Hype Timeline

On the 29th of January International Business is traded for 139.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. International Business Machines is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 139.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 63.24%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.07% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on International Business is about 494.25% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 139.54. The company reported last year revenue of 77.86 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 8.74 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 36.94 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days.
Please also see International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

International Business Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Genpact Limited 0.47 7 per month 0.71  0.11  1.46 (1.44)  3.99 
Broadridge Financial Solutions 0.63 10 per month 2.18 (0.0152)  1.32 (1.48)  11.60 
Gartner(1.70) 7 per month 0.72  0.06  1.58 (1.44)  7.87 
Digimarc Corporation 0.92 8 per month 0.00 (0.12)  5.65 (5.28)  20.34 
EPAM Systems(0.19) 9 per month 0.56  0.21  2.86 (1.40)  9.87 
ExlService Holdings(0.86) 7 per month 0.12  0.12  1.73 (0.87)  5.78 
Accenture Plc 0.33 7 per month 0.38  0.12  1.35 (0.97)  3.76 
CDW Corporation(0.61) 9 per month 1.75  0.0212  2.57 (2.94)  8.41 
Computer Task Group Incorporat 0.15 8 per month 2.30  0.05  3.62 (3.77)  21.06 
DXC Technology Company(0.88) 9 per month 1.52  0.08  3.72 (2.95)  24.06 

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Latest Prospective on International Business

Please also see International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot price ceiling movement for different equity instruments.
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