International Consolidated Airlines Stock Price Prediction
| ICAGY Stock | USD 4.14 0.18 4.55% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
International Consolidated stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of International Consolidated shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of International Consolidated's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of International Consolidated and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from International Consolidated's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with International Consolidated Airlines, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of International Consolidated based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The International stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on International Consolidated over a specific investment horizon. Using International Consolidated hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of International Consolidated Airlines from the perspective of International Consolidated response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in International Consolidated. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in International Consolidated to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying International because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
International Consolidated after-hype prediction price | USD 3.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
International |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of International Consolidated's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
International Consolidated After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of International Consolidated at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in International Consolidated or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of International Consolidated, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
International Consolidated Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting International Consolidated's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on International Consolidated's historical news coverage. International Consolidated's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.80 and 6.12, respectively. We have considered International Consolidated's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
International Consolidated is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of International Consolidated is based on 3 months time horizon.
International Consolidated Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as International Consolidated is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading International Consolidated backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with International Consolidated, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 2.23 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.14 | 3.96 | 0.00 |
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International Consolidated Hype Timeline
International Consolidated is currently traded for 4.14. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.12. International is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on International Consolidated is about 464.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.02. The book value of the company was currently reported as 0.72. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.12. International Consolidated last dividend was issued on the 8th of October 2020. The entity had 2499:1000 split on the 25th of October 2016. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out International Consolidated Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.International Consolidated Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to International Consolidated's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict International Consolidated's future price movements. Getting to know how International Consolidated's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how International Consolidated may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VVX | V2X Inc | 0.52 | 7 per month | 1.44 | 0.09 | 3.40 | (2.31) | 14.91 | |
| NPK | National Presto Industries | (0.85) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.39 | (2.42) | 6.03 | |
| KAMN | Kaman | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.75 | (0.50) | 101.73 | |
| WWD | Woodward | (2.83) | 12 per month | 1.18 | 0.03 | 2.29 | (1.74) | 6.93 | |
| HXL | Hexcel | 0.10 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.06 | (2.14) | 15.71 | |
| DCO | Ducommun Incorporated | (0.21) | 6 per month | 1.74 | 0 | 2.48 | (3.39) | 18.67 | |
| MRCY | Mercury Systems | 0.68 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.51 | (3.44) | 16.01 | |
| AIR | AAR Corp | (2.05) | 8 per month | 1.62 | 0.04 | 2.78 | (2.36) | 12.62 | |
| CW | Curtiss Wright | 0.31 | 11 per month | 0.57 | 0.14 | 1.51 | (1.20) | 4.29 |
International Consolidated Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine International price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for International using various technical indicators. When you analyze International charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About International Consolidated Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of International Consolidated stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as International Consolidated Airlines, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of International Consolidated based on analysis of International Consolidated hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to International Consolidated's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to International Consolidated's related companies. Story Coverage note for International Consolidated
The number of cover stories for International Consolidated depends on current market conditions and International Consolidated's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that International Consolidated is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about International Consolidated's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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International Consolidated Short Properties
International Consolidated's future price predictability will typically decrease when International Consolidated's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of International Consolidated Airlines often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential International Consolidated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. International Consolidated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.9 B |
Check out International Consolidated Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the International Consolidated information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other International Consolidated's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Complementary Tools for International Pink Sheet analysis
When running International Consolidated's price analysis, check to measure International Consolidated's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy International Consolidated is operating at the current time. Most of International Consolidated's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of International Consolidated's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move International Consolidated's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of International Consolidated to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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