First State (Ireland) Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

IE0008368742 -- Ireland Fund  

USD 156.97  21.95  12.27%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring First State headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First State China Growth I Acc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With First State hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of First State China Growth I Acc from the prospective of First State response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on First State over a specific investment horizon. Please also check First State Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

First State After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

First State Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 16, 2018
156.97
Current Value
Downside
144.73
156.97
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
169.21
Upside
First State is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First State China is based on 1 month time horizon.

First State Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.97% 4.08% 0.00%  0.00% 0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthUncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
156.97156.970.00%
0.00% 

First State Hype Timeline

First State China Growth I Acc is currently traded for 156.97on Irland Stock Exchange of Ireland. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First State China Growth I Acc is anticipated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at -0.97%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to First State is about 0.0%%. The volatility of related hype on First State is about 0.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 156.97. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.41. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First State China Growth I Acc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be uncertain.
Please also check First State Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

First State Related Hype Analysis

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