PIMCO GIS (Ireland) Risk Analysis And Volatility Evaluation

IE00B0V9TH54 -- Ireland Fund  

USD 15.71  0.10  0.63%

Our approach towards forecasting volatility of a fund is to use all available market data together with fund specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for PIMCO GIS Global which you can use to evaluate future volatility of the fund. Please check PIMCO GIS Global Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.40 to confirm if risk estimate we provide are consistent with the epected return of 0.0%.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

PIMCO GIS Market Sensitivity

As returns on market increase, returns on owning PIMCO GIS are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, PIMCO GIS is likely to outperform the market.
One Month Beta |Analyze PIMCO GIS Global Demand Trend
Check current 30 days PIMCO GIS correlation with market (DOW)
β = -0.005

PIMCO GIS Central Daily Price Deviation

PIMCO GIS Global Technical Analysis

Transformation
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PIMCO GIS Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming 30 trading days horizon, PIMCO GIS Global Bd ex US Instl has beta of -0.005 . This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding PIMCO GIS are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, PIMCO GIS Global Bd ex US Instl is likely to outperform the market. Additionally, PIMCO GIS Global Bd ex US Instl has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Predicted Return Density 
      Returns 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.02
β
Beta against DOW=0.005
σ
Overall volatility
=0.00
Ir
Information ratio =1.05

PIMCO GIS Return Volatility

PIMCO GIS Global Bd ex US Instl accepts 0.0% volatility on return distribution over the 30 days horizon. DOW inherits 1.1955% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 30 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
      Timeline 

Market Risk Breakdown

PIMCO GIS Volatility Factors

30 Days Market Risk

Unknown risk

Chance of Distress in 24 months

Unknown Distress

30 Days Economic Sensitivity

Insignificant

Investment Outlook

PIMCO GIS Investment Opportunity

DOW has a standard deviation of returns of 1.2 and is 9.223372036854776E16 times more volatile than PIMCO GIS Global Bd ex US Instl. 0% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than PIMCO GIS. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of PIMCO GIS Global Bd ex US Instl is lower than 0 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use PIMCO GIS Global Bd ex US Instl to protect against small markets fluctuations. The fund experiences moderate downward daily trend and can be a good diversifier. Check odds of PIMCO GIS to be traded at $15.4 in 30 days. As returns on market increase, returns on owning PIMCO GIS are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, PIMCO GIS is likely to outperform the market.

PIMCO GIS correlation with market

correlation synergy
Good diversification
Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding PIMCO GIS Global Bd ex US Inst and equity matching DJI index in the same portfolio.

PIMCO GIS Volatility Indicators

PIMCO GIS Global Bd ex US Instl Current Risk Indicators

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