Innovative Industrial Properties Stock Price Prediction

IIPR Stock  USD 103.54  0.81  0.78%   
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Innovative Industrial's share price is at 53. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Innovative Industrial, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

53

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Innovative Industrial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Innovative Industrial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Innovative Industrial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Innovative Industrial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Innovative Industrial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Innovative Industrial Properties, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Innovative Industrial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.37
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.93
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.81
Wall Street Target Price
121.4
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Innovative Industrial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Innovative stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Innovative Industrial over a specific investment horizon. Using Innovative Industrial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Innovative Industrial Properties from the perspective of Innovative Industrial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Innovative Industrial using Innovative Industrial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Innovative using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Innovative Industrial's stock price.

Innovative Industrial Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Innovative Industrial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Innovative. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Innovative Industrial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Innovative Industrial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Innovative Industrial and may potentially protect profits, hedge Innovative Industrial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
84.7107
Short Percent
0.1248
Short Ratio
10.16
Shares Short Prior Month
2.4 M
50 Day MA
95.2246

Innovative Industrial Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Innovative Industrial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Innovative. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Innovative can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Innovative Industrial Properties. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Innovative Industrial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Innovative Industrial.

Innovative Industrial Implied Volatility

    
  25.94  
Innovative Industrial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Innovative Industrial Properties stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Innovative Industrial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Innovative Industrial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Innovative Industrial's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Innovative Industrial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Innovative Industrial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Innovative because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Innovative Industrial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 103.39  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Innovative contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Innovative Industrial Properties will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.62% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Innovative Industrial trading at USD 103.54, that is roughly USD 1.68 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Innovative Industrial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Innovative Industrial Properties options at the current volatility level of 25.94%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Innovative Industrial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Innovative Industrial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
98.68100.48113.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
102.46104.26106.06
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
99.01108.80120.77
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.411.431.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Innovative Industrial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Innovative Industrial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Innovative Industrial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Innovative Industrial.

Innovative Industrial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Innovative Industrial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Innovative Industrial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Innovative Industrial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Innovative Industrial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Innovative Industrial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Innovative Industrial's historical news coverage. Innovative Industrial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 101.59 and 105.19, respectively. We have considered Innovative Industrial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
103.54
101.59
Downside
103.39
After-hype Price
105.19
Upside
Innovative Industrial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Innovative Industrial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Innovative Industrial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Innovative Industrial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Innovative Industrial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Innovative Industrial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
1.80
  0.15 
  0.01 
12 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
103.54
103.39
0.14 
94.24  
Notes

Innovative Industrial Hype Timeline

Innovative Industrial is currently traded for 103.54. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Innovative is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 103.39. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 94.24%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Innovative Industrial is about 1306.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 103.53. About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.52. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Innovative Industrial recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.77. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of March 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Innovative Industrial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Innovative Industrial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Innovative Industrial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Innovative Industrial's future price movements. Getting to know how Innovative Industrial rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Innovative Industrial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NSA-PANational Storage Affiliates 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 1.40 (1.39) 4.77 
IIPR-PAInnovative Industrial Properties 0.00 0 per month 1.20 (0.01) 2.73 (2.20) 8.47 
PLYMPlymouth Industrial REIT(0.71)8 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.12 (2.19) 6.46 
LXP-PCLexington Realty Trust 0.00 0 per month 0.80 (0.14) 1.18 (1.01) 5.10 
REXRRexford Industrial Realty(0.25)9 per month 0.00 (0.18) 2.78 (2.61) 6.64 
ILPTIndustrial Logistics Properties 0.04 9 per month 0.00 (0.05) 5.37 (4.83) 14.05 
SELFGlobal Self Storage(0.15)8 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.60 (1.20) 4.12 
STAGSTAG Industrial(0.17)11 per month 1.07 (0.10) 2.13 (1.79) 4.32 
PSA-PSPublic Storage 0.00 0 per month 0.72 (0.14) 1.19 (1.38) 3.70 

Innovative Industrial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Innovative price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Innovative using various technical indicators. When you analyze Innovative charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Innovative Industrial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Innovative Industrial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Innovative Industrial Properties, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Innovative Industrial based on analysis of Innovative Industrial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Innovative Industrial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Innovative Industrial's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01920.06640.07230.076
Price To Sales Ratio33.7510.039.118.66

Story Coverage note for Innovative Industrial

The number of cover stories for Innovative Industrial depends on current market conditions and Innovative Industrial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Innovative Industrial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Innovative Industrial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Innovative Industrial Short Properties

Innovative Industrial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Innovative Industrial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Innovative Industrial Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Innovative Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Innovative Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding28.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments163.6 M
When determining whether Innovative Industrial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Innovative Industrial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Innovative Industrial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Innovative Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Innovative Industrial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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When running Innovative Industrial's price analysis, check to measure Innovative Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Innovative Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of Innovative Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Innovative Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Innovative Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Innovative Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Innovative Industrial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Innovative Industrial. If investors know Innovative will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Innovative Industrial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
Dividend Share
7.22
Earnings Share
5.77
Revenue Per Share
11.063
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.123
The market value of Innovative Industrial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Innovative that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Innovative Industrial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Innovative Industrial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Innovative Industrial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Innovative Industrial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Innovative Industrial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Innovative Industrial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Innovative Industrial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.