Indian Oil (India) Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

IOC -- India Stock  

INR 124.65  0.85  0.68%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Indian Oil Corporation Limited which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Indian Oil hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Indian Oil Corporation Limited from the prospective of Indian Oil response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Indian Oil over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Indian Oil Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Indian Oil After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Indian Oil Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

February 16, 2019
124.65
Current Value
118.94
Downside
125.96
After-hype Price
Target Odds
Odds Odds
132.98
Upside
Indian Oil is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Indian Oil Limited is based on 2 months time horizon.

Indian Oil Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.37% 2.34% 1.31%  0.88% 4 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
124.65125.961.05%
65.92% 

Indian Oil Hype Timeline

Indian Oil Limited is currently traded for 124.65on Bombay Stock Exchange of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.31 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.88. Indian Oil Corporation Limited is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 125.96. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 65.92%. The price growth on the next news is estimated to be 1.05% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Indian Oil is about 98.94% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 125.53. The company reported revenue of 5190B. Net Income was 168.99B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 807.85B. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days.
Please also check Indian Oil Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Indian Oil Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Reliance Industries Limited 20.35 6 per month 1.45  0.07  3.43 (2.84)  7.22 
Reliance Industries Limited 0.90 8 per month 1.28  0.07  3.33 (2.73)  7.13 
Indian Oil Corporation Limited(1.35) 3 per month 0.00 (0.08)  3.07 (3.67)  11.04 
Indian Oil Corporation Limited 3.55 4 per month 0.00 (0.05)  3.00 (3.74)  12.06 
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited 7.00 8 per month 0.00 (0.06)  3.09 (3.00)  11.16 
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited(3.15) 4 per month 0.00 (0.06)  2.82 (3.73)  11.20 
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited 1.95 9 per month 2.10 (0.0192)  3.27 (3.61)  12.36 
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited(5.40) 3 per month 0.00 (0.09)  3.37 (3.43)  9.63 
Petronet LNG Limited 3.75 4 per month 1.64  0.0038  3.33 (2.92)  8.58 
Petronet LNG Limited(3.95) 5 per month 1.74 (0.0065)  3.30 (2.88)  9.02 

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