Intrepid Potash Stock Price Prediction
| IPI Stock | USD 19.52 0.25 1.30% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Intrepid Potash stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Intrepid Potash shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Intrepid Potash's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Intrepid Potash and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Intrepid Potash's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Intrepid Potash, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Intrepid Potash's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.81) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.28) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.62) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.47) | Wall Street Target Price 19 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Intrepid Potash based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Intrepid stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Intrepid Potash over a specific investment horizon. Using Intrepid Potash hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intrepid Potash from the perspective of Intrepid Potash response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Intrepid Potash using Intrepid Potash's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Intrepid using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Intrepid Potash's stock price.
Intrepid Potash Implied Volatility | 116.49 |
Intrepid Potash's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Intrepid Potash stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Intrepid Potash's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Intrepid Potash stock will not fluctuate a lot when Intrepid Potash's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Intrepid Potash. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Intrepid Potash to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Intrepid because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Intrepid Potash after-hype prediction price | USD 19.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Intrepid contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Intrepid Potash will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 7.28% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Intrepid Potash trading at USD 19.52, that is roughly USD 1.42 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Intrepid Potash's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Intrepid Potash options at the current volatility level of 116.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Intrepid |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intrepid Potash's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrepid Potash After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Intrepid Potash at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Intrepid Potash or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Intrepid Potash, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Intrepid Potash Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Intrepid Potash's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Intrepid Potash's historical news coverage. Intrepid Potash's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.73 and 22.31, respectively. We have considered Intrepid Potash's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Intrepid Potash is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intrepid Potash is based on 3 months time horizon.
Intrepid Potash Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Intrepid Potash is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Intrepid Potash backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Intrepid Potash, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 2.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.52 | 19.52 | 0.00 |
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Intrepid Potash Hype Timeline
On the 19th of April Intrepid Potash is traded for 19.52. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Intrepid is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Intrepid Potash is about 1223.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.52. About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.4. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Intrepid Potash has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.34. The entity recorded a loss per share of 2.8. The firm last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2012. Intrepid Potash had 1:10 split on the 14th of August 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Intrepid Potash Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Intrepid Potash Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Intrepid Potash's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Intrepid Potash's future price movements. Getting to know how Intrepid Potash's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Intrepid Potash may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MOS | The Mosaic | (0.04) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.22 | (2.99) | 9.55 | |
| NTR | Nutrien | (0.75) | 10 per month | 1.34 | 0.03 | 3.10 | (2.46) | 10.41 | |
| CTVA | Corteva | (0.03) | 10 per month | 1.09 | 0.09 | 2.69 | (1.89) | 23.64 | |
| FMC | FMC Corporation | (0.32) | 11 per month | 3.43 | (0.0004) | 3.94 | (4.77) | 22.10 | |
| CF | CF Industries Holdings | (1.14) | 12 per month | 1.59 | 0.01 | 2.59 | (2.44) | 9.82 | |
| ICL | ICL Israel Chemicals | 0.03 | 8 per month | 1.92 | 0.04 | 4.53 | (3.07) | 10.65 | |
| BIOX | Bioceres Crop Solutions | 0.08 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.25 | (1.95) | 9.57 | |
| CTA-PB | E I du | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.77 | (0.05) | 0.83 | (1.26) | 5.49 | |
| BHIL | Benson Hill | 0.03 | 8 per month | 6.02 | 0.02 | 11.11 | (10.00) | 45.83 | |
| AVD | American Vanguard | (0.14) | 11 per month | 2.78 | 0.05 | 4.73 | (5.38) | 31.28 |
Intrepid Potash Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Intrepid price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intrepid using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intrepid charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Intrepid Potash Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Intrepid Potash stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Intrepid Potash, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Intrepid Potash based on analysis of Intrepid Potash hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Intrepid Potash's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Intrepid Potash's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001254 | 0.001442 | 0.00137 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.07 | 1.09 | 1.04 |
Story Coverage note for Intrepid Potash
The number of cover stories for Intrepid Potash depends on current market conditions and Intrepid Potash's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Intrepid Potash is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Intrepid Potash's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Intrepid Potash Short Properties
Intrepid Potash's future price predictability will typically decrease when Intrepid Potash's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Intrepid Potash often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Intrepid Potash's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intrepid Potash's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7 M |
Check out Intrepid Potash Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Intrepid Stock please use our How to Invest in Intrepid Potash guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Complementary Tools for Intrepid Stock analysis
When running Intrepid Potash's price analysis, check to measure Intrepid Potash's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intrepid Potash is operating at the current time. Most of Intrepid Potash's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intrepid Potash's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intrepid Potash's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intrepid Potash to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Intrepid Potash's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intrepid Potash. If investors know Intrepid will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intrepid Potash listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.81) | Earnings Share (2.80) | Revenue Per Share 18.072 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.19) | Return On Assets 0.0053 |
The market value of Intrepid Potash is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intrepid that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intrepid Potash's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intrepid Potash's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intrepid Potash's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intrepid Potash's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intrepid Potash's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Intrepid Potash is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intrepid Potash's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.