Jack In Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

JACK -- USA Stock  

USD 87.98  1.16  1.34%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Jack In The Box which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Jack In hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Jack In The Box from the prospective of Jack In response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Jack In over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Jack In Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Jack In After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Jack In Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 16, 2019
87.98
Current Value
87.90
After-hype Price
95.43
Upside
Jack In is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jack In The is based on 3 months time horizon.

Jack In Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.07% 2.53% 0.09%  0.03% 9 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
87.9887.900.09%
199.21% 

Jack In Hype Timeline

Jack In The is currently traded for87.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Jack In The Box is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 87.9. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 199.21%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.09% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Jack In is about 626.24% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 87.95. About 106.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.56. Jack In The last dividend was issued on 2019-08-16. The entity had 2:1 split on 2007-10-16. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Please also check Jack In Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Jack In Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Biglari Holdings(6.13) 6 per month 2.35  0.028  5.50 (4.40)  11.05 
Dunkin Brands Group(1.43) 8 per month 0.96 (0.0087)  1.88 (1.76)  4.77 
Flanigans Enterprises 0.00 8 per month 0.00 (0.0448)  2.86 (3.42)  8.67 
Chipotle Mexican Grill 5.16 7 per month 1.30  0.07  2.39 (1.67)  11.34 
Dine Brands Global Inc Common(0.44) 9 per month 0.00 (0.18)  3.55 (4.05)  10.54 
Dominos Pizza 0.47 7 per month 0.00 (0.10)  2.41 (3.06)  11.27 
Darden Restaurants(0.55) 8 per month 1.18  0.08  2.11 (1.99)  6.22 
Brinker International(0.56) 8 per month 1.93  0.06  3.47 (4.16)  8.10 
Fiesta Restaurant Group(0.36) 7 per month 0.00 (0.12)  3.30 (4.11)  13.48 
FAT Brands(0.20) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0243)  4.86 (4.82)  14.19 

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Please also check Jack In Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 stocks, funds, and etfs against different fundamentals.
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