Jabil Circuit Stock Price Prediction
| JBL Stock | USD 120.89 1.76 1.48% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
50
Oversold | Overbought |
Jabil Circuit stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Jabil Circuit shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Jabil Circuit's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Jabil Circuit and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Jabil Circuit's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Jabil Circuit, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Jabil Circuit's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.809 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.37 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.5 | Wall Street Target Price 148.46 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.66 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Jabil Circuit based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Jabil stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Jabil Circuit over a specific investment horizon. Using Jabil Circuit hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jabil Circuit from the perspective of Jabil Circuit response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Jabil Circuit using Jabil Circuit's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Jabil using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Jabil Circuit's stock price.
Jabil Circuit Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Jabil Circuit's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Jabil. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Jabil Circuit stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Jabil Circuit may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Jabil Circuit and may potentially protect profits, hedge Jabil Circuit with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 124.5336 | Short Percent 0.0544 | Short Ratio 2.85 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.6 M | 50 Day MA 137.747 |
Jabil Circuit Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Jabil Circuit's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Jabil. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Jabil can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Jabil Circuit. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Jabil Circuit's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Jabil Circuit.
Jabil Circuit Implied Volatility | 32.07 |
Jabil Circuit's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Jabil Circuit stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Jabil Circuit's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Jabil Circuit stock will not fluctuate a lot when Jabil Circuit's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Jabil Circuit. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Jabil Circuit to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Jabil because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Jabil Circuit after-hype prediction price | USD 120.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Jabil contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Jabil Circuit will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.0% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Jabil Circuit trading at USD 120.89, that is roughly USD 2.42 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Jabil Circuit's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Jabil Circuit options at the current volatility level of 32.07%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Jabil |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jabil Circuit's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jabil Circuit After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Jabil Circuit at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jabil Circuit or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jabil Circuit, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Jabil Circuit Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Jabil Circuit's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jabil Circuit's historical news coverage. Jabil Circuit's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 118.01 and 123.77, respectively. We have considered Jabil Circuit's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Jabil Circuit is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jabil Circuit is based on 3 months time horizon.
Jabil Circuit Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jabil Circuit is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jabil Circuit backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jabil Circuit, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 2.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
120.89 | 120.89 | 0.00 |
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Jabil Circuit Hype Timeline
On the 24th of April Jabil Circuit is traded for 120.89. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Jabil is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 120.5%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Jabil Circuit is about 1282.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 120.89. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.91. Jabil Circuit recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.54. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of May 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 31st of March 2000. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Jabil Circuit Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Jabil Circuit Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Jabil Circuit's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jabil Circuit's future price movements. Getting to know how Jabil Circuit's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jabil Circuit may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SANM | Sanmina | (2.21) | 11 per month | 2.22 | 0.05 | 2.99 | (2.98) | 36.05 | |
| CLS | Celestica | (0.34) | 11 per month | 2.38 | 0.17 | 6.51 | (4.81) | 19.32 | |
| PLXS | Plexus Corp | 1.12 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.49 | (3.11) | 10.44 | |
| FN | Fabrinet | (2.28) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.43 | (5.96) | 22.29 | |
| BHE | Benchmark Electronics | (0.31) | 12 per month | 1.70 | 0.08 | 3.16 | (3.26) | 14.66 | |
| FLEX | Flex | (0.37) | 9 per month | 1.37 | 0.12 | 4.25 | (2.26) | 10.05 | |
| VICR | Vicor | 0.12 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.21 | (3.15) | 33.33 | |
| MEI | Methode Electronics | (0.46) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.76 | (5.45) | 34.92 | |
| OSIS | OSI Systems | 2.49 | 10 per month | 1.63 | 0.05 | 2.47 | (2.11) | 9.40 | |
| TEL | TE Connectivity | 0.63 | 9 per month | 0.99 | 0.04 | 2.13 | (1.97) | 9.22 | |
| LFUS | Littelfuse | (0.86) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.95 | (3.25) | 6.74 |
Jabil Circuit Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Jabil price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jabil using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jabil charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Jabil Circuit Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Jabil Circuit stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Jabil Circuit, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Jabil Circuit based on analysis of Jabil Circuit hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Jabil Circuit's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Jabil Circuit's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.002957 | 0.003401 | 0.003231 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.44 | 0.5 | 0.65 |
Story Coverage note for Jabil Circuit
The number of cover stories for Jabil Circuit depends on current market conditions and Jabil Circuit's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jabil Circuit is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jabil Circuit's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Jabil Circuit Short Properties
Jabil Circuit's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jabil Circuit's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jabil Circuit often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jabil Circuit's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jabil Circuit's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 135.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B |
Check out Jabil Circuit Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Jabil Stock please use our How to buy in Jabil Stock guide.Note that the Jabil Circuit information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Jabil Circuit's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Complementary Tools for Jabil Stock analysis
When running Jabil Circuit's price analysis, check to measure Jabil Circuit's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jabil Circuit is operating at the current time. Most of Jabil Circuit's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jabil Circuit's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jabil Circuit's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jabil Circuit to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Jabil Circuit's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jabil Circuit. If investors know Jabil will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jabil Circuit listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.809 | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share 11.54 | Revenue Per Share 247.585 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) |
The market value of Jabil Circuit is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jabil that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jabil Circuit's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jabil Circuit's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jabil Circuit's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jabil Circuit's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jabil Circuit's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jabil Circuit is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jabil Circuit's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.