JP Morgan Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

JPM -- USA Stock  

  Trading Volume Increase

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with JP Morgan Chase Co which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With JP Morgan hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of JP Morgan Chase Co from the prospective of JP Morgan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on JP Morgan over a specific investment horizon. Please also check JP Morgan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

JP Morgan After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

JP Morgan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 22, 2019
120.56
Current Value
115.81
Downside
120.40
After-hype Price
124.99
Upside
JP Morgan is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JP Morgan Chase is based on 3 months time horizon.

JP Morgan Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.10  1.53% 0.16   0.03  9 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
120.56120.400.13 
98.08

JP Morgan Hype Timeline

On 22 of October JP Morgan Chase is traded for 120.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.16 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. JP Morgan Chase Co is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 120.4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 98.08%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.13% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on JP Morgan is about 579.55% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 120.53. About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.63. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. JP Morgan Chase has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.16. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.13. The firm last dividend was issued on 2019-10-03. JP Morgan had 3:2 split on 2000-06-12. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Please also check JP Morgan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

JP Morgan Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Bank Nova Scotia Halifax Pfd 3(0.30) 1 per month 0.76  0.18  1.19 (1.23)  3.74 
Citigroup(0.72) 9 per month 1.96  0.0328  2.97 (3.07)  7.73 
Bank Of Montreal(0.1) 11 per month 1.34  0.0172  1.49 (1.75)  5.49 
Bank Of America Corporation 0.06 8 per month 1.90  0.07  2.51 (2.65)  6.99 
Barclays PLC(0.09) 8 per month 1.42  0.1  5.56 (2.06)  9.60 
Canadian Imperial Bank Of Comme 0.00 0 per month 0.84  0.14  1.55 (1.57)  4.37 
East West Bancorp 0.07 10 per month 0.00 (0.0436)  3.96 (4.55)  9.71 
ING Group N V(0.13) 10 per month 1.82  0.05  3.10 (2.57)  6.44 
JP Morgan Chase Co(1.56) 9 per month 1.51  0.10  2.48 (2.48)  5.98 
Credit Suisse Group 0.13 9 per month 1.50  0.0368  2.46 (2.70)  6.21 
Please also check JP Morgan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Bollinger Bands module to use bollinger bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
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