Kellogg Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

K -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kellogg Company which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Kellogg hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Kellogg Company from the prospective of Kellogg response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Kellogg over a specific investment horizon. Please see also Kellogg Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Kellogg After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Kellogg Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

November 20, 2019
64.66
Current Value
65.36
After-hype Price
68.36
Upside
Kellogg is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kellogg Company is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kellogg Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.05  1.01% 0.03   0.00  10 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
64.6665.360.06 
180.36

Kellogg Hype Timeline

As of November 20, 2019 Kellogg Company is listed for 64.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Kellogg Company is expected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 65.36. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 180.36%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.06% where as daily expected return is now at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Kellogg is about 10100.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 64.66. The company reported annual revenue of 13.67 B. Net Income to common stockholders was 731 M with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.83 B. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 10 days.
Please see also Kellogg Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Kellogg Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Kellogg Company 0.56 10 per month 1.00 (0.06)  1.43 (1.86)  4.14 
Dean Foods Company(0.03) 9 per month 5.35  0.0181  12.26 (9.02)  52.37 
Lamb Weston Holdings 0.12 11 per month 0.68  0.14  1.95 (1.60)  8.57 
DAVIDsTEA 0.06 8 per month 3.95  0.0084  7.85 (6.04)  24.40 
Farmmi Inc Ordinary Shares(0.04) 4 per month 0.00 (0.15)  6.21 (9.52)  23.52 
Farmer Brothers Company 0.06 8 per month 4.12  0.05  6.38 (5.80)  36.24 
BG Foods BG Foods(0.54) 11 per month 0.00 (0.16)  3.13 (3.47)  9.70 
ConAgra Brands(0.16) 9 per month 0.00 (0.07)  2.43 (3.05)  7.65 
Campbell Soup Company(0.04) 8 per month 0.73  0.06  2.13 (1.43)  5.75 
Darling Ingredients(0.09) 8 per month 0.96  0.11  2.49 (2.48)  10.36 
Please see also Kellogg Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Premium Stories module to follow macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
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