Kinder Morgan Stock Price Prediction
| KMI Stock | USD 18.21 0.45 2.53% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
67
Oversold | Overbought |
Kinder Morgan stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Kinder Morgan shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Kinder Morgan's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kinder Morgan and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kinder Morgan's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kinder Morgan, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Kinder Morgan's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.32 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.22 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.26 | Wall Street Target Price 20.41 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Kinder Morgan based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Kinder stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Kinder Morgan over a specific investment horizon. Using Kinder Morgan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kinder Morgan from the perspective of Kinder Morgan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kinder Morgan using Kinder Morgan's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kinder using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kinder Morgan's stock price.
Kinder Morgan Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Kinder Morgan's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Kinder. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Kinder Morgan stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Kinder Morgan may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Kinder Morgan and may potentially protect profits, hedge Kinder Morgan with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 17.3104 | Short Percent 0.0229 | Short Ratio 3.22 | Shares Short Prior Month 29 M | 50 Day MA 17.6394 |
Kinder Morgan Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Kinder Morgan's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kinder. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kinder can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kinder Morgan. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kinder Morgan's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kinder Morgan.
Kinder Morgan Implied Volatility | 60.41 |
Kinder Morgan's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kinder Morgan stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kinder Morgan's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kinder Morgan stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kinder Morgan's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Kinder Morgan. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kinder Morgan to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kinder because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kinder Morgan after-hype prediction price | USD 18.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kinder contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kinder Morgan will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.78% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Kinder Morgan trading at USD 18.21, that is roughly USD 0.69 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kinder Morgan's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kinder Morgan options at the current volatility level of 60.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Kinder |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kinder Morgan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kinder Morgan After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kinder Morgan at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kinder Morgan or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kinder Morgan, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kinder Morgan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kinder Morgan's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kinder Morgan's historical news coverage. Kinder Morgan's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.31 and 19.15, respectively. We have considered Kinder Morgan's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kinder Morgan is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kinder Morgan is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kinder Morgan Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kinder Morgan is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kinder Morgan backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kinder Morgan, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.21 | 18.23 | 0.00 |
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Kinder Morgan Hype Timeline
On the 18th of April 2024 Kinder Morgan is traded for 18.21. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Kinder is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kinder Morgan is about 1940.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.20. About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.33. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kinder Morgan has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.71. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2024. The firm had 10:1 split on the 20th of January 2015. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Kinder Morgan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kinder Morgan Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kinder Morgan's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kinder Morgan's future price movements. Getting to know how Kinder Morgan's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kinder Morgan may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OKE | ONEOK Inc | 0.27 | 11 per month | 0.69 | 0.11 | 2.08 | (1.16) | 5.43 | |
| MPLX | MPLX LP | (0.01) | 11 per month | 0.64 | 0.10 | 1.45 | (1.25) | 3.82 | |
| EPD | Enterprise Products Partners | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.60 | 0.08 | 1.10 | (0.98) | 3.15 | |
| MMP | Magellan Midstream Partners | 0.49 | 11 per month | 0.46 | 0.24 | 1.59 | (1.07) | 4.09 | |
| ET | Energy Transfer LP | 0.03 | 11 per month | 0.64 | 0.12 | 1.53 | (1.23) | 3.98 | |
| ENB | Enbridge | 0.05 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.38 | (2.04) | 4.35 | |
| WMB | Williams Companies | (0.05) | 10 per month | 0.76 | 0.08 | 1.64 | (1.47) | 4.81 | |
| TRP | TC Energy Corp | (1.14) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.41 | (1.97) | 5.90 |
Kinder Morgan Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kinder price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kinder using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kinder charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kinder Morgan Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kinder Morgan stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kinder Morgan, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kinder Morgan based on analysis of Kinder Morgan hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kinder Morgan's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kinder Morgan's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0703 | 0.0613 | 0.0642 | 0.0685 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.16 | 2.13 | 2.57 | 1.9 |
Story Coverage note for Kinder Morgan
The number of cover stories for Kinder Morgan depends on current market conditions and Kinder Morgan's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kinder Morgan is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kinder Morgan's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kinder Morgan Short Properties
Kinder Morgan's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kinder Morgan's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kinder Morgan often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kinder Morgan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kinder Morgan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 83 M |
Check out Kinder Morgan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Kinder Stock please use our How to Invest in Kinder Morgan guide.You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Complementary Tools for Kinder Stock analysis
When running Kinder Morgan's price analysis, check to measure Kinder Morgan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kinder Morgan is operating at the current time. Most of Kinder Morgan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kinder Morgan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kinder Morgan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kinder Morgan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Kinder Morgan's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kinder Morgan. If investors know Kinder will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kinder Morgan listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | Dividend Share 1.13 | Earnings Share 1.06 | Revenue Per Share 6.864 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) |
The market value of Kinder Morgan is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kinder that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kinder Morgan's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kinder Morgan's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kinder Morgan's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kinder Morgan's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kinder Morgan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kinder Morgan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kinder Morgan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.