Eastman Kodak Co Stock Price Prediction

KODK Stock  USD 4.56  0.04  0.87%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Eastman Kodak's the stock price is about 62. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Eastman, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

62

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Eastman Kodak stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Eastman Kodak shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Eastman Kodak's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Eastman Kodak and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Eastman Kodak's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Eastman Kodak Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Eastman Kodak's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.50)
Wall Street Target Price
1
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.1)
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Eastman Kodak based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Eastman stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Eastman Kodak over a specific investment horizon. Using Eastman Kodak hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eastman Kodak Co from the perspective of Eastman Kodak response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Eastman Kodak using Eastman Kodak's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Eastman using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Eastman Kodak's stock price.

Eastman Kodak Implied Volatility

    
  173.29  
Eastman Kodak's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Eastman Kodak Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Eastman Kodak's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Eastman Kodak stock will not fluctuate a lot when Eastman Kodak's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Eastman Kodak. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Eastman Kodak to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Eastman because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Eastman Kodak after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.74  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Eastman Kodak Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eastman Kodak's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.7910.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.14.7812.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.424.815.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Eastman Kodak. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Eastman Kodak's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Eastman Kodak's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Eastman Kodak.

Eastman Kodak After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Eastman Kodak at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eastman Kodak or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eastman Kodak, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Eastman Kodak Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Eastman Kodak's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eastman Kodak's historical news coverage. Eastman Kodak's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.24 and 12.22, respectively. We have considered Eastman Kodak's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.56
4.74
After-hype Price
12.22
Upside
Eastman Kodak is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eastman Kodak is based on 3 months time horizon.

Eastman Kodak Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eastman Kodak is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eastman Kodak backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eastman Kodak, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.64 
7.48
  0.18 
  0.01 
11 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.56
4.74
3.95 
2,671  
Notes

Eastman Kodak Hype Timeline

Eastman Kodak is now traded for 4.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Eastman is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.74 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 3.95%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.64%. The volatility of related hype on Eastman Kodak is about 35619.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.55. The company currently holds 495 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.33, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Eastman Kodak Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Eastman Kodak Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Eastman Kodak's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eastman Kodak's future price movements. Getting to know how Eastman Kodak's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eastman Kodak may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SMXSMX Public Limited(0.01)7 per month 10.51  0.02  29.63 (18.18) 116.31 
SSTSystem1(0.08)6 per month 5.71  0.08  11.73 (10.00) 72.68 
LICNLichen China Limited(0.09)5 per month 0.00 (0.11) 9.65 (10.17) 43.20 
TISITeam Inc 0.47 9 per month 5.10  0.02  10.71 (6.83) 27.35 
MMSMaximus(1.80)8 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.40 (1.92) 7.92 
FAFirst Advantage Corp(0.01)8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.10 (2.26) 9.83 
CVEOCiveo Corp 0.16 9 per month 1.55  0.09  3.59 (2.73) 7.89 
NTIPNetwork 1 Technologies 0.04 5 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.86 (2.78) 9.00 
AZZAZZ Incorporated 0.18 11 per month 1.23  0.20  3.60 (2.52) 10.90 
ARMKAramark Holdings 0.93 12 per month 1.03  0.06  2.17 (2.08) 6.45 

Eastman Kodak Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Eastman price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eastman using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eastman charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Eastman Kodak Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Eastman Kodak stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Eastman Kodak Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Eastman Kodak based on analysis of Eastman Kodak hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Eastman Kodak's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Eastman Kodak's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01910.01660.0129
Price To Sales Ratio0.320.20.28

Story Coverage note for Eastman Kodak

The number of cover stories for Eastman Kodak depends on current market conditions and Eastman Kodak's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eastman Kodak is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eastman Kodak's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Eastman Kodak Short Properties

Eastman Kodak's future price predictability will typically decrease when Eastman Kodak's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Eastman Kodak Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Eastman Kodak's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eastman Kodak's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding90.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments267 M
When determining whether Eastman Kodak is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Eastman Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Eastman Kodak Co Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Eastman Kodak Co Stock:
Check out Eastman Kodak Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Eastman Kodak information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Eastman Kodak's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

Complementary Tools for Eastman Stock analysis

When running Eastman Kodak's price analysis, check to measure Eastman Kodak's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eastman Kodak is operating at the current time. Most of Eastman Kodak's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eastman Kodak's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eastman Kodak's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eastman Kodak to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Eastman Kodak's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eastman Kodak. If investors know Eastman will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Eastman Kodak listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.50)
Earnings Share
0.67
Revenue Per Share
14.068
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.1)
Return On Assets
0.0447
The market value of Eastman Kodak is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Eastman that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Eastman Kodak's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Eastman Kodak's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Eastman Kodak's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Eastman Kodak's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Eastman Kodak's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eastman Kodak is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eastman Kodak's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.