Kennedy Wilson Holdings Stock Price Prediction

KW Stock  USD 8.33  0.52  6.66%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Kennedy Wilson's share price is approaching 30. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kennedy Wilson, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

30

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Kennedy-Wilson Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Kennedy Wilson shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Kennedy Wilson's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kennedy Wilson and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kennedy Wilson's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kennedy Wilson Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Kennedy Wilson's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.40)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.34)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(2.54)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(1.14)
Wall Street Target Price
7.2
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Kennedy Wilson based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Kennedy stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Kennedy Wilson over a specific investment horizon. Using Kennedy Wilson hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kennedy Wilson Holdings from the perspective of Kennedy Wilson response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kennedy Wilson using Kennedy Wilson's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kennedy using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kennedy Wilson's stock price.

Kennedy Wilson Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Kennedy Wilson's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Kennedy. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Kennedy Wilson stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Kennedy Wilson may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Kennedy Wilson and may potentially protect profits, hedge Kennedy Wilson with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
13.1925
Short Percent
0.1251
Short Ratio
5.97
Shares Short Prior Month
6.5 M
50 Day MA
9.5286

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Kennedy Wilson's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kennedy. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kennedy can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kennedy Wilson Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kennedy Wilson's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kennedy Wilson.

Kennedy Wilson Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Kennedy Wilson's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kennedy Wilson Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kennedy Wilson's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kennedy Wilson stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kennedy Wilson's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Kennedy Wilson. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kennedy Wilson to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kennedy because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Kennedy Wilson after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Kennedy Wilson Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kennedy Wilson's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.5610.4113.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.458.3011.15
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.3818.0019.98
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.72-0.72-0.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kennedy Wilson. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kennedy Wilson's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kennedy Wilson's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kennedy-Wilson Holdings.

Kennedy Wilson After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kennedy Wilson at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kennedy Wilson or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kennedy Wilson, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kennedy Wilson Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kennedy Wilson's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kennedy Wilson's historical news coverage. Kennedy Wilson's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.46 and 11.16, respectively. We have considered Kennedy Wilson's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.33
8.31
After-hype Price
11.16
Upside
Kennedy Wilson is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kennedy-Wilson Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kennedy Wilson Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kennedy Wilson is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kennedy Wilson backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kennedy Wilson, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.61 
2.87
  0.02 
  0.03 
9 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.33
8.31
0.24 
9,567  
Notes

Kennedy Wilson Hype Timeline

As of March 28, 2024 Kennedy-Wilson Holdings is listed for 8.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Kennedy is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.31. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.61%. The volatility of related hype on Kennedy Wilson is about 6560.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.36. About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.16. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kennedy-Wilson Holdings recorded a loss per share of 2.46. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of March 2024. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Kennedy Wilson Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Kennedy Wilson Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kennedy Wilson's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kennedy Wilson's future price movements. Getting to know how Kennedy Wilson rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kennedy Wilson may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HFTidal Trust II 0.11 5 per month 0.32 (0.03) 0.99 (0.77) 3.31 
KWKennedy Wilson Holdings(0.03)9 per month 0.00 (0.24) 3.71 (5.54) 13.24 
UKUcommune International(0.05)10 per month 0.00 (0.02) 16.40 (15.25) 101.31 
ZGZillow Group 0.80 8 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.87 (3.98) 20.65 
DOMADoma Holdings(0.17)7 per month 0.00 (0.05) 4.31 (4.95) 33.22 
VINOGaucho Group Holdings 0.01 9 per month 0.00 (0.02) 11.11 (8.47) 36.79 
VTMXCorporacin Inmobiliaria Vesta(0.14)3 per month 1.31 (0.09) 2.29 (2.42) 5.60 
NMRKNewmark Group(0.18)8 per month 2.32  0.0006  4.63 (3.62) 13.40 

Kennedy Wilson Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kennedy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kennedy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kennedy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Kennedy Wilson Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Kennedy Wilson stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kennedy Wilson Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kennedy Wilson based on analysis of Kennedy Wilson hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kennedy Wilson's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kennedy Wilson's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.04250.07450.09970.1
Price To Sales Ratio7.293.993.062.9

Story Coverage note for Kennedy Wilson

The number of cover stories for Kennedy Wilson depends on current market conditions and Kennedy Wilson's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kennedy Wilson is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kennedy Wilson's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Kennedy Wilson Short Properties

Kennedy Wilson's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kennedy Wilson's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kennedy Wilson Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kennedy Wilson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kennedy Wilson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding138.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments313.7 M
When determining whether Kennedy-Wilson Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Kennedy Wilson's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Kennedy Wilson's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Kennedy Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Kennedy Wilson Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Kennedy Stock analysis

When running Kennedy Wilson's price analysis, check to measure Kennedy Wilson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kennedy Wilson is operating at the current time. Most of Kennedy Wilson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kennedy Wilson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kennedy Wilson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kennedy Wilson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Kennedy Wilson's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kennedy Wilson. If investors know Kennedy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kennedy Wilson listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.40)
Dividend Share
0.96
Earnings Share
(2.46)
Revenue Per Share
3.88
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.13)
The market value of Kennedy-Wilson Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kennedy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kennedy Wilson's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kennedy Wilson's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kennedy Wilson's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kennedy Wilson's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kennedy Wilson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kennedy Wilson is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kennedy Wilson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.