Kraneshares Csi China Etf Price Prediction
| KWEB Etf | USD 25.51 0.15 0.58% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
KraneShares CSI China etf price prediction is an act of determining the future value of KraneShares CSI shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of KraneShares CSI's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of KraneShares CSI and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from KraneShares CSI's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with KraneShares CSI China, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether etf price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of KraneShares CSI based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The KraneShares price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on KraneShares CSI over a specific investment horizon. Using KraneShares CSI hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KraneShares CSI China from the perspective of KraneShares CSI response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards KraneShares CSI using KraneShares CSI's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards KraneShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of KraneShares CSI's stock price.
KraneShares CSI Implied Volatility | 40.38 |
KraneShares CSI's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of KraneShares CSI China stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if KraneShares CSI's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that KraneShares CSI stock will not fluctuate a lot when KraneShares CSI's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in KraneShares CSI. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in KraneShares CSI to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying KraneShares because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
KraneShares CSI after-hype prediction price | USD 25.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current KraneShares contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that KraneShares CSI China will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.52% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With KraneShares CSI trading at USD 25.51, that is roughly USD 0.64 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating KraneShares CSI's daily price movement you should consider acquiring KraneShares CSI China options at the current volatility level of 40.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
KraneShares |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KraneShares CSI's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
KraneShares CSI After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KraneShares CSI at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KraneShares CSI or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of KraneShares CSI, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KraneShares CSI Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KraneShares CSI's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KraneShares CSI's historical news coverage. KraneShares CSI's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.65 and 27.69, respectively. We have considered KraneShares CSI's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KraneShares CSI is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KraneShares CSI China is based on 3 months time horizon.
KraneShares CSI Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as KraneShares CSI is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KraneShares CSI backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KraneShares CSI, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 2.02 | 0.01 | 0.10 | 3 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.51 | 25.67 | 0.04 |
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KraneShares CSI Hype Timeline
KraneShares CSI China is now traded for 25.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. KraneShares is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 25.67 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is estimated to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on KraneShares CSI is about 332.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.61. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out KraneShares CSI Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.KraneShares CSI Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KraneShares CSI's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KraneShares CSI's future price movements. Getting to know how KraneShares CSI's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KraneShares CSI may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MCHI | iShares MSCI China | 0.12 | 10 per month | 1.56 | (0.03) | 2.18 | (2.59) | 8.56 | |
| CQQQ | Invesco China Technology | (0.12) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.28 | (3.32) | 11.78 | |
| ASHR | Xtrackers Harvest CSI | 0.07 | 3 per month | 0.98 | 0.05 | 2.26 | (1.77) | 6.06 | |
| FXI | iShares China Large Cap | 0.05 | 8 per month | 1.44 | 0.07 | 2.92 | (2.30) | 9.25 | |
| PDD | Pinduoduo | 2.92 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.55 | (4.65) | 13.07 |
KraneShares CSI Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KraneShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KraneShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze KraneShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About KraneShares CSI Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of KraneShares CSI stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as KraneShares CSI China, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of KraneShares CSI based on analysis of KraneShares CSI hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to KraneShares CSI's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to KraneShares CSI's related companies. Story Coverage note for KraneShares CSI
The number of cover stories for KraneShares CSI depends on current market conditions and KraneShares CSI's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KraneShares CSI is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KraneShares CSI's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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KraneShares CSI Short Properties
KraneShares CSI's future price predictability will typically decrease when KraneShares CSI's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of KraneShares CSI China often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential KraneShares CSI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KraneShares CSI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
When determining whether KraneShares CSI China offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of KraneShares CSI's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Kraneshares Csi China Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Kraneshares Csi China Etf: Check out KraneShares CSI Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the KraneShares CSI China information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other KraneShares CSI's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
The market value of KraneShares CSI China is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KraneShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KraneShares CSI's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KraneShares CSI's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KraneShares CSI's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KraneShares CSI's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KraneShares CSI's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KraneShares CSI is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KraneShares CSI's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.