Laffans Petrochemicals (India) Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

LAFFANSQ -- India Stock  

INR 18.75  1.10  6.23%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Laffans Petrochemicals Limited which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Laffans Petrochemicals hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Laffans Petrochemicals Limited from the prospective of Laffans Petrochemicals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Laffans Petrochemicals over a specific investment horizon. Please see also Laffans Petrochemicals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Laffans Petrochemicals After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Laffans Petrochemicals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

January 16, 2019
18.75
Current Value
18.76
After-hype Price
Target Odds
Odds Odds
27.97
Upside
Laffans Petrochemicals is not very volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Laffans Petrochemicals is based on 2 months time horizon.

Laffans Petrochemicals Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.18% 3.07% 0.01%  0.92% 1 Events / Month4 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.7518.760.05%
6,140% 

Laffans Petrochemicals Hype Timeline

Laffans Petrochemicals is now traded for 18.75on Bombay Stock Exchange of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.92. Laffans Petrochemicals Limited is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 18.76. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 6140.0%. The price increase on the next news is estimated to be 0.05% where as daily expected return is now at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Laffans Petrochemicals is about 59.79% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 19.67. The company reported revenue of 39.76M. Net Income was 18M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 644.03K. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be very soon.
Please see also Laffans Petrochemicals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Laffans Petrochemicals Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Godrej Industries Limited(3.55) 5 per month 0.98  0.28  2.56 (2.23)  8.98 
Godrej Industries Limited(5.45) 3 per month 0.86  0.32  3.27 (2.09)  9.39 
Tata Chemicals Limited(4.70) 5 per month 1.23  0.18  2.83 (2.33)  6.25 
Tata Chemicals Limited(4.25) 3 per month 1.08  0.21  2.09 (1.89)  6.05 
Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited 10.85 5 per month 0.87  0.30  3.04 (2.00)  6.07 
Atul Ltd(1.45) 5 per month 1.11  0.28  2.06 (1.87)  5.12 
Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited 8.00 7 per month 0.78  0.28  3.15 (1.98)  6.07 
Atul Ltd 91.65 4 per month 1.04  0.27  2.25 (1.80)  7.32 
Vinati Organics Limited(35.95) 1 per month 2.26  0.22  7.92 (4.52)  14.56 
Vinati Organics Limited(3.80) 2 per month 1.71  0.21  7.98 (3.67)  18.01 

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Please see also Laffans Petrochemicals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Price Transformation module to use price transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
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