Lennar Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

LEN -- USA Stock  

USD 51.21  0.79  1.52%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lennar Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Lennar hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Lennar Corporation from the prospective of Lennar response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Lennar over a specific investment horizon. Please see also Lennar Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Lennar After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Lennar Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 25, 2019
Current Value
After-hype Price
Lennar is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lennar is based on 2 months time horizon.

Lennar Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.18% 1.48% 0.02%  0.66% 9 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Lennar Hype Timeline

On 25 of August Lennar is traded for 51.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.66. Lennar Corporation is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 51.23. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1233.33%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.04% where as daily expected return is now at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Lennar is about 40.06% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 50.55. The company reported last year revenue of 21.56B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.89B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.36B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Please see also Lennar Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Lennar Related Hype Analysis

At Risk
Beazer Homes USA 0.59 6 per month 1.52  0.33  4.67 (3.29)  9.04 
Century Communities 1.02 7 per month 2.04  0.15  3.66 (3.04)  9.87 
D R Horton(0.41) 10 per month 1.00  0.27  2.76 (2.24)  8.00 
Hovnanian Enterprises(0.23) 9 per month 5.83  0.10  13.43 (10.44)  30.55 
KB Home 0.47 10 per month 1.53  0.23  3.23 (3.04)  11.50 
Lennar Corporation 0.12 9 per month 1.22  0.16  2.13 (1.86)  5.29 
M D C Holdings(0.07) 8 per month 1.08  0.23  3.01 (1.94)  13.80 
MI Homes 0.59 8 per month 0.94  0.35  3.77 (2.38)  12.92 
Meritage Homes Corporation 0.02 9 per month 1.18  0.23  2.74 (2.38)  21.54 
NVR(39.04) 9 per month 1.37  0.19  2.68 (3.18)  6.33 

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Please see also Lennar Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
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