LIGAND PHARM Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

LGNZZ -- USA Stock  

USD 0.12  0.01  8.00%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with LIGAND PHARM INC which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With LIGAND PHARM hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of LIGAND PHARM INC from the prospective of LIGAND PHARM response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on LIGAND PHARM over a specific investment horizon. Please see also LIGAND PHARM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

LIGAND PHARM Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

LIGAND PHARM Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 3.45% 17.82% 0.00%  13.02% 2 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.120.124.35%
0.00% 

LIGAND PHARM Hype Timeline

LIGAND PHARM INC is now traded for0.12. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 13.02. LIGAND PHARM INC is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 0.12. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 0.0%. The closing price rise on the next news is estimated to be 4.35% where as daily expected return is now at 3.45%. The volatility of related hype on LIGAND PHARM is about 472.16% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 13.14. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Please see also LIGAND PHARM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

LIGAND PHARM Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Vedanta Limited 6.80 4 per month 1.21  0.16  4.69 (2.31)  7.84 
Hero MotoCorp Limited 30.10 2 per month 0.00 (0.16)  1.37 (2.36)  8.74 
CHINA LIFE INSURANCE LTD(0.20) 4 per month 0.00 (0.20)  2.67 (2.69)  4.61 
HSBC Holdings plc(0.0069) 6 per month 0.00 (0.49)  0.31 (0.54)  1.91 
Berkshire Hathaway 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Berkshire Hathaway 1.54 5 per month 0.00  0.26  1.22 (0.56)  2.44 
Facebook(7.88) 4 per month 0.00 (0.22)  2.20 (2.60)  4.87 
Tencent Holdings Limited(0.16) 2 per month 0.00 (0.20)  2.17 (4.09)  8.97 

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