Miller Opportunity Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

LGOAX -- USA Fund  

USD 26.07  0.11  0.42%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Miller Opportunity A which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Miller Opportunity hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Miller Opportunity A from the prospective of Miller Opportunity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Miller Opportunity over a specific investment horizon. Please see also Miller Opportunity Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Miller Opportunity After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Miller Opportunity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

February 23, 2019
26.07
Current Value
26.02
After-hype Price
Target Odds
Odds Odds
30.43
Upside
Miller Opportunity is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Miller Opportunity is based on 2 months time horizon.

Miller Opportunity Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.49% 1.47% 0.05%  0.17% 7 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
26.0726.020.19%
1,470% 

Miller Opportunity Hype Timeline

Miller Opportunity is now traded for26.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.17. Miller Opportunity A is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 26.02. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1470.0%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.19% where as daily expected return is now at 0.49%. The volatility of related hype on Miller Opportunity is about 427.33% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 26.24. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.03. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Miller Opportunity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days.
Please see also Miller Opportunity Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Miller Opportunity Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Vanguard Mid Cap Index InstitutionalPlus 2.43 8 per month 1.19  0.07  1.56 (1.94)  9.41 
Vanguard Mid Cap Index Admiral 0.00 0 per month 1.23  0.07  1.57 (1.93)  9.40 
Vanguard Mid Cap Index Investor(0.57) 9 per month 0.98  0.11  1.54 (1.39)  9.44 
Vanguard Extended Market Index InstlPlus 1.81 7 per month 0.79  0.15  1.79 (1.58)  9.13 
DFA US Core Equity 2 I(0.10) 1 per month 0.88  0.0493  1.77 (2.09)  6.79 
Fidelity Extended Market Index InstlPrm(0.25) 9 per month 0.83  0.15  1.80 (1.60)  9.19 
JPMorgan Mid Cap Value A(0.06) 7 per month 1.22  0.0307  1.39 (1.57)  8.48 
JPMorgan Mid Cap Value C(0.05) 1 per month 0.64  0.0477  1.36 (1.60)  5.49 
JPMorgan Mid Cap Value R2 0.09 8 per month 0.32  0.06  1.37 (1.27)  3.80 
JPMorgan Mid Cap Value L 0.14 5 per month 0.00  0.19  1.39 (0.32)  3.82 

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