Miller Opportunity Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

LGOAX -- USA Fund  

USD 29.32  0.03  0.10%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Miller Opportunity A which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Miller Opportunity hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Miller Opportunity A from the prospective of Miller Opportunity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Miller Opportunity over a specific investment horizon. Please see also Miller Opportunity Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Miller Opportunity After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline

Miller Opportunity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 18, 2018
Current Value
After-hype Price
Target Odds
Miller Opportunity is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Miller Opportunity is based on 1 month time horizon.

Miller Opportunity Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.01% 0.96% 0.01%  0.00% 7 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Miller Opportunity Hype Timeline

Miller Opportunity A is now traded for29.32. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Miller Opportunity A is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 29.31. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 106.67%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.03% where as daily expected return is now at 0.01%. The volatility of related hype on Miller Opportunity is about 603.77% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 29.32. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.03. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Miller Opportunity A had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days.
Please see also Miller Opportunity Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Miller Opportunity Related Hype Analysis

At Risk
Vanguard Mid Cap Index Admiral(0.15) 1 per month 0.29 (0.0338)  0.54 (0.59)  1.76 
Vanguard Mid Cap Index Investor(0.30) 6 per month 0.27 (0.09)  0.54 (0.58)  1.59 
Vanguard Mid Cap Index InstitutionalPlus 1.04 6 per month 0.28 (0.0256)  1.00 (0.69)  2.27 
Vanguard Extended Market Index InstlPlus 0.86 6 per month 0.60 (0.18)  0.74 (1.10)  2.21 
Vanguard Extended Market Index Instl(0.17) 6 per month 0.60 (0.16)  1.11 (1.11)  2.25 
JPMorgan Mid Cap Value R6 0.08 4 per month 0.00 (0.33)  0.41 (0.59)  1.35 
JHancock Disciplined Value Mid Cap C 0.04 5 per month 0.34 (0.12)  1.09 (0.52)  1.82 
JHancock Disciplined Value Mid Cap R6 0.05 6 per month 0.37 (0.1)  0.50 (0.50)  2.30 
JHancock Disciplined Value Mid Cap R2 0.09 4 per month 0.37 (0.1)  0.59 (0.66)  2.10 
JHancock Disciplined Value Mid Cap Adv 0.05 5 per month 0.43 (0.16)  0.48 (0.65)  2.26 

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