Ltc Properties Stock Price Prediction
| LTC Stock | USD 31.80 0.31 0.98% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
LTC Properties stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of LTC Properties shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of LTC Properties' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of LTC Properties and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from LTC Properties' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with LTC Properties, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting LTC Properties' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.535 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.45 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.9 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.88 | Wall Street Target Price 33.67 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of LTC Properties based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The LTC stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on LTC Properties over a specific investment horizon. Using LTC Properties hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LTC Properties from the perspective of LTC Properties response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards LTC Properties using LTC Properties' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards LTC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of LTC Properties' stock price.
LTC Properties Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in LTC Properties' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards LTC. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of LTC Properties stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long LTC Properties may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about LTC Properties and may potentially protect profits, hedge LTC Properties with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 32.3606 | Short Percent 0.0525 | Short Ratio 4.83 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.3 M | 50 Day MA 31.833 |
LTC Properties Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to LTC Properties' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in LTC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding LTC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around LTC Properties. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of LTC Properties' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about LTC Properties.
LTC Properties Implied Volatility | 645.23 |
LTC Properties' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of LTC Properties stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if LTC Properties' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that LTC Properties stock will not fluctuate a lot when LTC Properties' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in LTC Properties. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LTC Properties to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LTC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
LTC Properties after-hype prediction price | USD 31.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
LTC |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LTC Properties' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LTC Properties After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LTC Properties at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LTC Properties or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LTC Properties, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LTC Properties Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LTC Properties' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LTC Properties' historical news coverage. LTC Properties' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.57 and 32.79, respectively. We have considered LTC Properties' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LTC Properties is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LTC Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.
LTC Properties Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LTC Properties is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LTC Properties backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LTC Properties, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.11 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
31.80 | 31.68 | 0.00 |
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LTC Properties Hype Timeline
On the 19th of April LTC Properties is traded for 31.80. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. LTC is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on LTC Properties is about 66.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.78. About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.55. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. LTC Properties last dividend was issued on the 19th of April 2024. The entity had 11:10 split on the 1st of October 1998. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out LTC Properties Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.LTC Properties Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LTC Properties' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LTC Properties' future price movements. Getting to know how LTC Properties' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LTC Properties may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MPW | Medical Properties Trust | 0.18 | 9 per month | 2.88 | 0.15 | 6.76 | (4.98) | 23.03 | |
| SBRA | Sabra Healthcare REIT | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.90 | (2.74) | 7.18 | |
| DOC | Healthpeak Properties | (0.31) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.40 | (3.12) | 7.68 | |
| NHI | National Health Investors | (0.81) | 9 per month | 1.39 | 0.07 | 1.70 | (2.30) | 10.94 | |
| GMRE | Global Medical REIT | (0.37) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.35 | (3.92) | 9.81 | |
| VTR | Ventas Inc | (0.40) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.42 | (2.70) | 7.72 | |
| OHI | Omega Healthcare Investors | (0.17) | 12 per month | 1.19 | (0.03) | 2.00 | (2.25) | 9.81 | |
| HR | Healthcare Realty Trust | (0.08) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.86 | (3.36) | 11.26 | |
| PEAK | PEAK Old | (16.22) | 9 per month | 10.01 | 0.12 | 4.76 | (3.61) | 102.41 | |
| CTRE | CareTrust REIT | (0.17) | 9 per month | 1.12 | 0.04 | 1.98 | (2.49) | 10.30 | |
| UHT | Universal Health Realty | (0.66) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.19 | (3.57) | 8.41 | |
| WELL | Welltower | (1.15) | 11 per month | 0.96 | (0.05) | 1.57 | (1.66) | 8.97 |
LTC Properties Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LTC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LTC using various technical indicators. When you analyze LTC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About LTC Properties Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of LTC Properties stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LTC Properties, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LTC Properties based on analysis of LTC Properties hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LTC Properties's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LTC Properties's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0677 | 0.0646 | 0.0715 | 0.13 | Price To Sales Ratio | 8.61 | 8.09 | 6.69 | 6.27 |
Story Coverage note for LTC Properties
The number of cover stories for LTC Properties depends on current market conditions and LTC Properties' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LTC Properties is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LTC Properties' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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LTC Properties Short Properties
LTC Properties' future price predictability will typically decrease when LTC Properties' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LTC Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LTC Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LTC Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.3 M |
Check out LTC Properties Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade LTC Stock refer to our How to Trade LTC Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Complementary Tools for LTC Stock analysis
When running LTC Properties' price analysis, check to measure LTC Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LTC Properties is operating at the current time. Most of LTC Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LTC Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LTC Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LTC Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is LTC Properties' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LTC Properties. If investors know LTC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LTC Properties listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.535 | Dividend Share 2.28 | Earnings Share 2.16 | Revenue Per Share 4.648 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.043 |
The market value of LTC Properties is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LTC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LTC Properties' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LTC Properties' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LTC Properties' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LTC Properties' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LTC Properties' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LTC Properties is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LTC Properties' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.