Lululemon Athletica Stock Volatility

LULU Stock  USD 364.59  0.09  0.02%   
Lululemon Athletica has Sharpe Ratio of -0.15, which conveys that the firm had a -0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Lululemon Athletica exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Lululemon Athletica's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), mean deviation of 1.48, and Standard Deviation of 2.54 to check out the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Lululemon Athletica's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Lululemon Athletica Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Lululemon daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Lululemon's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Lululemon Athletica volatility.
  

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Lululemon Athletica's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Lululemon Athletica's managers and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Lululemon Athletica can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Lululemon Athletica at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Lululemon stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Lululemon Athletica's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

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Lululemon Athletica Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Lululemon Athletica's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Lululemon stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Lululemon stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Lululemon Athletica's beta of 2.01 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Lululemon Athletica stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Lululemon Athletica exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.63 and kurtosis of 20.48. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lululemon Athletica's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lululemon Athletica's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Lululemon Athletica Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Lululemon Athletica correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Lululemon Beta

    
  2.01  
Lululemon standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  2.62  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Lululemon Athletica's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Lululemon Athletica's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in lululemon stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Lululemon Athletica.

Using Lululemon Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Lululemon Athletica grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Lululemon Athletica at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Lululemon Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Lululemon Athletica's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Lululemon Athletica will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Lululemon Athletica's PUT expiring on 2024-04-26

   Profit   
       Lululemon Athletica Price At Expiration  

Current Lululemon Athletica Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $285.0-0.00212.0E-422024-04-260.0 - 1.480.02View
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $290.0-0.00121.0E-4592024-04-260.0 - 0.020.01View
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $315.0-0.00456.0E-41092024-04-260.0 - 0.260.03View
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $320.0-0.00750.0012262024-04-260.0 - 0.080.05View
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $325.0-0.01090.00158542024-04-260.04 - 0.10.07View
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $330.0-0.01470.00223402024-04-260.03 - 0.150.09View
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $332.5-0.010.00181082024-04-260.03 - 0.130.05View
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $335.0-0.02080.00321942024-04-260.03 - 0.260.12View
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $337.5-0.0180.00321892024-04-260.03 - 0.10.09View
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $340.0-0.0210.0043722024-04-260.08 - 0.610.1View
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $342.5-0.03070.00563982024-04-260.05 - 0.20.15View
View All Lululemon Athletica Options

Lululemon Athletica Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Lululemon Athletica stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Lululemon Athletica's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Lululemon Athletica's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Lululemon Athletica's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Lululemon Athletica's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Lululemon Athletica's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Lululemon Athletica's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Lululemon Athletica's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Lululemon Athletica Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Lululemon Athletica Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.0101 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lululemon Athletica will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lululemon Athletica or Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lululemon Athletica's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lululemon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Lululemon Athletica has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Lululemon Athletica's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how lululemon stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Lululemon Athletica Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Lululemon Athletica Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Lululemon Athletica is -654.42. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 6.85 and standard deviation of 2.62. The mean deviation of Lululemon Athletica is currently at 1.54. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.58
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.01
σ
Overall volatility
2.62
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Lululemon Athletica Stock Return Volatility

Lululemon Athletica historical daily return volatility represents how much of Lululemon Athletica stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 2.6168% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6372% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Lululemon Athletica Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Lululemon Athletica or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Lululemon Athletica may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Lululemon's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Lululemon Athletica and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Lululemon Athletica fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing Expenses429.7 M349.7 M
Market Cap39.1 B41.1 B
Lululemon Athletica's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Lululemon Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Lululemon Athletica's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Lululemon Athletica's volatility to invest better

Higher Lululemon Athletica's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Lululemon Athletica stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Lululemon Athletica stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Lululemon Athletica investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Lululemon Athletica's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Lululemon Athletica's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Lululemon Athletica Investment Opportunity

Lululemon Athletica has a volatility of 2.62 and is 4.09 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 23 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Lululemon Athletica. You can use Lululemon Athletica to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Lululemon Athletica to be traded at $360.94 in 90 days.

Very weak diversification

The correlation between Lululemon Athletica and NYA is 0.49 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Lululemon Athletica and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Lululemon Athletica Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lululemon Athletica's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lululemon Athletica's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Lululemon Athletica stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Lululemon Athletica Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Lululemon Athletica as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Lululemon Athletica's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Lululemon Athletica's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Lululemon Athletica.
When determining whether Lululemon Athletica is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Lululemon Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Lululemon Athletica Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Lululemon Athletica Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Lululemon Athletica. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
For more information on how to buy Lululemon Stock please use our How to Invest in Lululemon Athletica guide.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

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Is Lululemon Athletica's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lululemon Athletica. If investors know Lululemon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lululemon Athletica listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.639
Earnings Share
12.22
Revenue Per Share
75.906
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.156
Return On Assets
0.2173
The market value of Lululemon Athletica is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lululemon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lululemon Athletica's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lululemon Athletica's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lululemon Athletica's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lululemon Athletica's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lululemon Athletica's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lululemon Athletica is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lululemon Athletica's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.